Pick 1: Arizona vs. Seattle and St. Louis vs. Chicago

Pick 1: Arizona vs. Seattle and St. Louis vs. Chicago

The Teaser: Pair Arizona and St. Louis

Game 1: Arizona vs. Seattle

The Initial Line:

Arizona +3 away vs. Seattle

The Take:

Add 7.5 points to Arizona’s line

The Final Line:

Arizona +10.5

The Breakdown:

Arizona got to enjoy a bye week after 2 straight wins and a 6-2 record to start the year. Seattle also had a bye in week 9 after 2 straight wins, although they only sit at 4-4 on the year. This game will loom large for deciding the NFC West champion, as Arizona already has a 2 game lead over Seattle and St. Louis. Both of these defenses have been stellar, as they rank #2 (Seattle) and #3 (Arizona) in yards allowed/game in the league. The major difference between these teams is the offensive production, as Arizona scores the 2nd most PPG (32.9) while Seattle ranks 20th (20.9). Carson Palmer has been the mastermind behind the offense, as he ranks 3rd in QB rating in the NFL and has the best record of any QB over the past 2 seasons. This will likely be a defensive showdown and may be decided on the last drive of the game, but don’t expect Arizona to be intimidated by the 12th man in Seattle. Take Arizona with some extra points here, although I’m not sure they need any extra help.

Final Stat:Arizona’s defense has forced more than double the turnovers that Seattle has (17 to 8).

Game 2: St. Louis vs. Chicago

The Initial Line:

St. Louis -7.5 home vs. Chicago

The Take:

Add 7.5 points to St. Louis’s line

The Final Line:

St. Louis even

The Breakdown:

St. Louis lost a tough back-and forth game in OT at Minnesota last weekend 21-18. Chicago was able to pull out a road victory in San Diego on MNF 22-19. St. Louis is still in the mix in the NFC West playoff picture, as they are 4-4 sitting 2 games back of Arizona. Todd Gurley has helped them win 2 of their last 3 along with their stout defense. Chicago has been a team in transition all season, with many new faces on the defensive side of the ball. Going into St. Louis to play will be no easy task, as they are 3-1 at home and have only let up 13.8 PPG there. Gurley might get a chance at another big game against this Chicago D, as they have let up 121.6 rush yds/game (24th in league). Expect a hungry St. Louis team to win the battle on both sides of the ball and secure the home win here, take them with the points.

Final Stat:Chicago only ranks 25th in PPG (20.3), while St. Louis ranks 6th in pts allowed/game (18.3).

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