Pick 3: Green Bay vs. Detroit and Cincinnati vs. Houston

Pick 3: Green Bay vs. Detroit and Cincinnati vs. Houston

The Teaser: Pair Green Bay and Cincinnati

Game 1: Green Bay vs. Detroit

The Initial Line:

Green Bay -12.5 away vs. Detroit

The Take:

Add 8.5 points to Green Bay’s line

The Final Line:

Green Bay -4

The Breakdown:

Green Bay lost their 2nd straight game, but both came against an undefeated opponent as they now sit at 6-2 on the year. Detroit had a much needed bye in week 9 after a 1-7 start that led to the firing of their GM and team president. Green Bay may not be happy losing 2 straight, but to their credit they faced some tough competition on the road against Denver and Carolina. Now they will get to head home where they excel, against an opponent who they should handle easily. Aaron Rodgers continues to be as consistent as ever, with only 3 INTs on the year (2nd best in NFL). Detroit ranks last in points allowed/game (30.6), which may get even worse after facing a GB team that averages 29 PPG at home in 2015. Green Bay also looks to get back in the sack column after having a 42 game sack streak end the last 2 games. They should be able to generate pressure against a Detroit OL allowing the 9th most sacks in the league (22.0). Take the Pack to rebound here and get back in the win column in a big way.

Final Stat: Green Bay is tied for 4th in turnover differential at +6, while Detroit ranks dead last at -9.

Game 2: Cincinnati vs. Houston

The Initial Line:

Cincinnati -11.5 home vs. Houston

The Take:

Add 8.5 points to Cincinnati’s line

The Final Line:

Cincinnati -3

The Breakdown:

Cincinnati remained undefeated after taking it to divisional and interstate rival Cleveland 31-10. Houston got to enjoy a bye week after starting off the season with a 3-5 record. Cincinnati is 1 of the 3 remaining unbeaten teams along with New England and Carolina, and a lot of this is due to the improved play of Andy Dalton. He currently ranks 2nd in QB rating behind Tom Brady, and has only 4 INTs on the year. The defense has also been making plays lead by Carlos Dunlap, who’s tied for 2nd in the league with 8.5 sacks. Houston has been an up-and-down team all year, struggling to find their rhythm on offense or defense. Their defense was what carried them last season as they forced the most turnovers in 2014, however they currently rank 23rd with 9 on the year. The offense has had their struggles as well, as they only rank 20th in the league with 21.8 PPG. Cincinnati has the momentum, home-field advantage, and a better team on both sides of the ball. Easy choice to take them here.

Final Stat: Cincinnati has won 5 straight at home, with an average win margin of 10.6 PPG.

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