Pick 2: Atlanta vs. Indianapolis and Minnesota vs. Green Bay

Pick 2: Atlanta vs. Indianapolis and Minnesota vs. Green Bay

The Teaser: Pair Atlanta and Minnesota

Game 1: Atlanta vs. Indianapolis

The Initial Line:

Atlanta -7 home vs. Indianapolis

The Take:

Add 7.5 points to Atlanta’s line

The Final Line:

Atlanta +0.5

The Breakdown:

Atlanta was able to enjoy a bye week after a 6-3 start to the year. Indianapolis also enjoyed a bye week, with news that Andrew Luck would be replaced by Matt Hasselback due to injury. The bye couldn’t have come at a better time for Atlanta, who lost 2 in a row and was struggling to find the dominant offense that carried them through the beginning of the season. Nevertheless, Matt Ryan, Devonta Freeman, and Julio Jones all rank in the top 5 of their respective offensive categories. Indianapolis has struggled all year on offense despite big expectations, as they currently rank 19th in points scored/game. Indy has 2 less wins than Atlanta, but due to the strengths of their divisions Indy is in 1st in the AFC South and Atlanta is 2nd in the NFC South. This should be a fairly competitive game, but expect a big bounce back from Atlanta at home. Take them to win here.

Final Stat: Atlanta has averaged 29.8 PPG in 4 games at home this year. Indy has only gotten over that total once this season.

Game 2: Minnesota vs. Green Bay

The Initial Line:

Minnesota even home vs. Green Bay

The Take:

Add 7.5 points to Minnesota’s line

The Final Line:

Minnesota +7.5

The Breakdown:

Minnesota was able to go on the road and beat Oakland 30-14 Sunday. Green Bay suffered its 3rd straight loss, falling at home to divisional foe Detroit 18-16. Minnesota has now won 5 in a row and sits at 7-2 in the NFC North over Green Bay. Adrian Peterson has been a big reason for that, as he is now leading the NFL in rushing with 961 yds in 9 games. Green Bay has been struggling to find their offense as of late, as they’ve only scored 18.3 points in their last 3 games compared to 27.3 in the first 6. The defense hasn’t been getting the job done either, as they rank 22nd in yards allowed and have been finding it difficult to record sacks as of late. The only piece holding GB together is Aaron Rodgers who can still manage a game like a pro and is not prone to turnovers (lowest giveaway total in NFL). Minnesota will be in front of the home crowd this week (4-0 at home) and will be looking to take a stranglehold on the division. Expect a tight game but one that Minnesota can win. Take them with a FG cushion in case Rodgers leads a game winning drive.

Final Stat: Minnesota gives up the second fewest points/game in the NFL (17.1).

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