Pick 4: Kansas City vs. Oakland and New Orleans vs. Carolina

Pick 4: Kansas City vs. Oakland and New Orleans vs. Carolina

The Teaser: Pair Kansas City and New Orleans

Game 1: Kansas City vs. Oakland

The Initial Line:

Kansas City -2.5 away vs. Oakland

The Take:

Add 7 points to Kansas City’s line

The Final Line:

Kansas City +4.5

The Breakdown:

Kansas City has continued their red-hot streak, as they won 30-22 to move to 6-5. Oakland finally got back in the win column after a 3 game slide, as they defeated Tennessee on the road 24-21. There isn’t a hotter team in the NFL than Kansas City, who has revived their season with a 5 game win streak after a 1-5 start. A lot of people thought they were doomed after losing Jamaal Charles for the year, but Charcandrick West has picked up the slack in a big way. The offense as a whole has averaged 32 PPG during the streak, but the defense has really impressed only allowing 12.2 PPG over that stretch. Oakland has been a very streaky team this season, as they seem to gain some momentum and then lose it right back. Derek Carr has been a bright side for them this season, as he ranks 6th in passer rating in the NFL. Latavius Murray has also excelled, as he ranks 7th in the NFL with 765 rush yards. This will probably be a close divisional game, but we’ll side with the streaking KC team here. Get them with a few extra pts in case Oakland can pull out a last minute FG win.

Final Stat: Kansas City is #2 in the NFL with a +12 turnover differential. Oakland is tied for 18th at -1.

Game 2: New Orleans vs. Carolina

The Initial Line:

New Orleans +7.5 home vs. Carolina

The Take:

Add 7 points to New Orleans’s line

The Final Line:

New Orleans +14.5

The Breakdown:

New Orleans suffered a tough loss on the road to Houston, falling to Houston 24-6. Carolina kept their undefeated streak going, winning on Thanksgiving at Dallas 33-14. Now on paper this looks like an easy win for Carolina. Their undefeated and New Orleans has lost 3 straight. However there’s more to this game that may tell us otherwise. First off, the pressures of remaining undefeated will continue to mount as the season progresses with more teams wanting to be the ones to knock them off. Second this is a divisional battle, which usually produces a tighter game with more bragging rights at stake. Also if you look at New Orleans, 3 of their 4 wins have come at home. Their 2 home losses were within one score. If you remember earlier in the season New Orleans only lost at Carolina by 5 points. I think this game has potential upset written all over it, but grabbing New Orleans with a 2 TD cushion will also give us some comfort.

Final Stat: Drew Brees ranks 5th in the NFL with 3,200 yds passing through 11 games (290.9 yds/game).

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