Pick 4: Pittsburgh vs. Cincinnati and Kansas City vs. San Diego

Pick 4: Pittsburgh vs. Cincinnati and Kansas City vs. San Diego

The Teaser: Pair Pittsburgh and Kansas City

Game 1: Pittsburgh vs. Cincinnati

The Initial Line:

Pittsburgh +3 away vs. Cincinnati

The Take:

Add 8.5 points to Pittsburgh’s line

The Final Line:

Pittsburgh +11.5

The Breakdown:

Pittsburgh got a convincing win at home, as they rolled pass Indianapolis with ease 45-10 on SNF, Cincinnati also had a convincing win in their Ohio rivalry against Cleveland, as they won 37-3. These games always seem to produce some good fireworks. Cincinnati won the first battle between these two rivals 16-10, but Ben Roethlisberger arguably looks better than Andy Dalton right now. In his last 4 games he has passes for over 330 yds/game and has 10 pass TDs. Antonio Brown has been a big reason for his success, as he’s gained almost 600 yds during the same stretch with 4 TD receptions. I expect this one to be a hard-fought game until the end, with Pittsburgh having a shot at the upset. They won’t get crushed either though, and grabbing them with 11+ insurance points will be more than enough to cover.

Final Stat: Ben Roethlisberger leads the league in passing yards/game with 338.

Game 2: Kansas City vs. San Diego

The Initial Line:

Kansas City -11.5 home vs. San Diego

The Take:

Add 8.5 points to Kansas City’s line

The Final Line:

Kansas City -3

The Breakdown:

Kansas City kept their win streak going, as they won on the road 34-20 vs Oakland. San Diego continues to struggle, as they fell at home to divisional foe Denver 17-3. Despite all of the powerhouse teams in the NFL, Kansas City has to be the scariest at this point. After a 1-5 start they’ve won 6 straight and look poised for a playoff berth. They’re clicking on offense and defense, and have won by an average of 17 pts in their victories. San Diego can’t seem to muster much of a fight after key injuries have set them back to the tune of a 3-9 record. This is the story of a motivated team against a hopeless squad, and I wouldn’t be surprised if this was a blowout at Arrowhead Stadium where the crowd can be overwhelming. Take Kansas City to win easily here.

Final Stat: Kansas City ranks 2nd in the NFL with a +13 turnover differential.

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