Pick 1: Cincinnati vs. San Francisco and Kansas City vs. Baltimore

Pick 1: Cincinnati vs. San Francisco and Kansas City vs. Baltimore

The Teaser: Pair Cincinnati and Kansas City

Game 1: Cincinnati vs. San Francisco

The Initial Line:

Cincinnati -4.5 away vs. San Francisco

The Take:

Add 8 points to Cincinnati’s line

The Final Line:

Cincinnati +3.5

The Breakdown:

Cincinnati fell at home at the hands of division rival Pittsburgh 33-20. San Francisco also lost on the road, as they were defeated by Cleveland 24-10. Cincinnati suffered an even bigger loss as their starting QB Andy Dalton got injured while trying to make a tackle. The good news is that Cincinnati is very strong on both the OL, receiving core, and on defense which will make the job easier for AJ McCarron to step in. They also ranks 5th in the NFL with a +6 turnover differential, which shows their balanced attack. San Francisco hasn’t been able to get anything going consistently all season. Even with Blaine Gabbart playing QB the results have been the same, just with less turnovers. Cincinnati still overmatches SF on both sides of the ball despite their loss of Dalton, so they should still be able to pull out the road win here.

Final Stat: Cincinnati ranks in the top 10 in offense and defense on the year. San Francisco ranks in the bottom 5 in both categories.

Game 2: Kansas City vs. Baltimore

The Initial Line:

Kansas City -8.5 away vs. Baltimore

The Take:

Add 8 points to Kansas City’s line

The Final Line:

Kansas City -0.5

The Breakdown:

Kansas City kept their momentum rolling, as they held on at home vs San Diego 10-3. Baltimore was crushed at home, as they were dominated by Seattle 35-6. Baltimore has nothing to play more anymore besides the #1 draft pick, while KC sits 5th in the AFC playoff picture after their recent stretch of success. Kansas City has reeled off 7 straight wins, and will likely be only the 2nd team in the super bowl era to make the playoffs after a 1-5 start. They have been impressive on both sides of the ball, but the defense is really stepping up. In their current win streak, the team has held opponents to 13 pts or less in 5 of the 7 games. Baltimore might have trouble stopping KC’s offense as well, as they are allowing 25.1 PPG (tied for 23rd in NFL). Take Kansas City to keep them momentum going and get an 8th straight victory.

Final Stat: Kansas City has the 2nd best turnover differential in the NFL (+12).

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