Pick 2: Buffalo vs. Miami and New England vs. Jacksonville

Pick 2: Buffalo vs. Miami and New England vs. Jacksonville

The Teaser: Pair Buffalo and New England

Game 1: Buffalo vs. Miami

The Initial Line:

Buffalo +2.5 away vs. Miami

The Take:

Add 8 points to Buffalo’s line

The Final Line:

Buffalo +10.5

The Breakdown:

Buffalo was handed their first loss by division rival NE Sunday by a final of 40-32. Miami had a more embarrassing defeat, losing on the road to Jacksonville 23-20. Now these two AFC East hopefuls will square off in a critical game to get an edge over each other for a potential playoff spot. Buffalo has looked like the more poised team this season with an impressive week 1 defeat of Indianapolis. They brought back the core of the 4th ranked defense from last season, and added offensive weapons LeSean McCoy and Percy Harvin to assist Tyrod Taylor. Taylor hasn’t done too bad a job yet this season with a 75.5% completion %, although he did throw 3 INTs vs NE. If he can even do an average job for Buffalo the rest of the season the playmakers on offense and the stellar defense will carry them into the postseason. Miami barely beat Washington in week 1 and lost to a poor team in week 2, if this keeps up they won’t fair well against Buffalo. Look for a tight game here, so 10.5 points for Rex Ryan’s crew should be more than plenty.

Final Stat: Ndamukong Suh has disappointed thus far in Miami, only having 3 tackles in his first 2 games this season.

Game 2: New England vs. Jacksonville

The Initial Line:

New England -14.5 home vs. Jacksonville

The Take:

Add 8 points to New England’s line

The Final Line:

New England -6.5

The Breakdown:

New England silenced the Buffalo critics this past week, as they won on the road to move to 2-0 on the season. Jacksonville was able to pull out the home win against Miami this past week to move to 1-1. NE currently sits as the favorite to win the Super Bowl, and Tom Brady seems to be on a vengeance after the whole Deflategate controversy. He has a 7-0 TD-INT ratio in his first 2 games, with 4 of those going to the almost unstoppable Rob Gronkowski. This matchup in Foxboro is very simple: if New England doesn’t have a meltdown they should win this easily. Jacksonville is clearly overmatched on offense. Their defense is solid, but they still won’t be able to stop the Brady/Gronk combo. They should win this one by a few TDs, but getting them to win by only 1 TD is a steal.

Final Stat: New England has only lost 1 home game the last 2 seasons, and that was against Buffalo week 17 of 2014 where most of the starters were rested for the playoffs.

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