Pick 4: Pittsburgh vs. St. Louis and Minnesota vs. San Diego

Pick 4: Pittsburgh vs. St. Louis and Minnesota vs. San Diego

The Teaser: Pair Pittsburgh and Minneosta

Game 1: Pittsburgh away vs. St. Louis

The Initial Line (5Dimes):

Pittsburgh -1 away vs. St. Louis

The Take:

Add 8.5 points to Green Bay’s line

The Final Line:

Pittsburgh +7.5

The Breakdown:

Pittsburgh’s offense has looked high-powered to start 2015, as they’ve scored 64 pts in the first 2 games. St. Louis got the upset win over Seattle in week 1, only to lose to Washington on the road in game 2. Roethlisberger is 2nd in the league with 720 pass yds, and his top receiver Antonio Brown leads the lead in receiving yards. St. Louis is a defensive-minded team, as they have 8 sacks through the first 2 games which may cause issues for Pittsburgh. This should be a fairly tight game, but Pittsburgh just has too many weapons to not put up some points. The question is will St. Louis be able to match their offensive output. This one may come down to the wire, but taking Pittsburgh with over a TD cushion should be more than plenty to cover.

Final Stat: Pittsburgh has averaged 27.8 PPG since the start of 2014. St. Louis had only achieved more points than that 5 times in the same stretch.

Game 2: Minnesota home vs. San Diego

The Initial Line (5Dimes):

Minnesota -1 home vs. San Diego

The Take:

Add 8.5 points to Minnesota’s line

The Final Line:

Minnesota +7.5

The Breakdown:

Minnesota had a nice bounce back win this past weekend, defeating Detroit 26-16 at home. San Diego fell on the road to Cincinnati 24-19 to move to 1-1 on the year. There was some concern in week 1 when Adrian Peterson only had 10 carries for 31 yards, but he had a huge game in week 2 with 29 carries for 134 yards. He is the main catalyst to their offensive success, so establishing the run game behind AP is critical to the success of Minnesota. San Diego has shown they are good at staying competitive in games (9 games decided by a TD or less since 2014). Philip Rivers is a solid QB with some reliable receivers, but their run game and defense is average at best. Teddy Bridgewater is still learning the ropes coming into year 2, but he had a decent rookie campaign in 2014 and will feel some comfort in having AP in his backfiend to setup the run game. Expect Minnesota to be ready to run with AP once again, and San Diego will do their best to keep it within 7 pts. But even a 7 pt loss works for us.

Final Stat: San Diego ranked 26th in rush yds allowed in 2014, and already ranks 21st this season before facing AP.

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