Pick 4: Atlanta vs. Houston and Denver vs. Minnesota

Pick 4: Atlanta vs. Houston and Denver vs. Minnesota

The Teaser: Pair Atlanta and Denver

Game 1: Atlanta vs. Houston

The Initial Line:

Atlanta -7 home vs. Houston

The Take:

Add 6.5 points to Atlanta’s line

The Final Line:

Atlanta -0.5

The Breakdown:

Atlanta has looked very confident thus far, defeating Dallas on the road to move to 3-0 on the year. Houston finally got its first victory of 2015, defeating Tampa Bay in Reliant Stadium 19-9. We’ve all know about how good Matt Ryan can be, as he’s completed at least 65% of his passes and gained 285 pass yds in each of the first 3 games. Julio Jones is once again showing why he could be considered the best WR in football, as he now has 440 receiving yards (most in NFL) and 4 TD with a minimum of 135 yds/game. The rushing game has also contributed, with an average of over 100 yds/game. Houston’s defense has not been as dominant as last year, although still efficient (tied for 12th in yards allowed). However, with minimal offensive output from Ryan Mallett and Co. it’s gonna be tough to compete every week. Atlanta has a weaker defense, but their offense is far superior to Houston’s and they should find a win at home in the Georgia Dome.

Final Stat: Matt Ryan has a career 40-15 home record (72.7% win %) with 66.8% completions and a passer rating of 97.1. On the road, he’s 29-29 with 61.9% comp and a rating of 86.7.

Game 2: Denver vs. Minnesota

The Initial Line:

Denver -7 home vs. Minnesota

The Take:

Add 6.5 points to Denver’s line

The Final Line:

Denver -0.5

The Breakdown:

Denver was able to defeat Detroit on the road to move to 3-0 on the season, as Peyton Manning quieted some doubters with 324 pass yds and 2 TDs. Minnesota was able to get a convincing home win against San Diego Sunday, with AP once again breaking out for over 100 yds on the ground. Peyton has faced a lot of criticism this season, yet his team still sits at 3-0 atop the AFC West. Also what people seem to often forget is that their defense is what carries them, leading the league in yards allowed and turnover differential. Minnesota has shown improvement since their Week 1 defeat in SF, but they haven’t had to face a true test like Denver yet. Peterson is currently leading the league in rushing, but may face issues against a Denver D who ranks 6th in rush yds allowed. If they successfully stop the run, expect a long afternoon for shaky Teddy Bridgewater. Take Denver to win this home game.

Final Stat:Denver hasn’t lost a regular season game at home since 12/12/13 against divisional foe San Diego.

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