Pick 5: Indianapolis vs. Jacksonville and Seattle vs. Detroit

Pick 5: Indianapolis vs. Jacksonville and Seattle vs. Detroit

The Teaser: Pair Indianapolis and Seattle

Game 1: Indianapolis vs. Jacksonville

The Initial Line:

Indianapolis -10 home vs. Jacksonville

The Take:

Add 7.5 points to Indianapolis’ line

The Final Line:

Indianapolis -2.5

The Breakdown:

Indianapolis got a season-saving win on Sunday, coming back from a 10 pt deficit to defeat Tennessee and move to 1-2 on the year. Jacksonville couldn’t stop the potent New England offense, losing 51-17 on the road. Indy is a team that had huge expectations going into the season, but so far they have been a disappointment. It’s only a matter of time before this offense breaks out, and this may be their chance against a weak Jacksonville squad. Andrew Luck has been putting the majority of the workload on his shoulders, but I’m sure he was relieved that Frank Gore added 86 rush yds and 2 TDs Sunday. They will need to continue a more balanced attack if they want to take the pressure off of Luck and produce more consistent results. In front of the home crowd, expect a big game out of Indy as I think this will be the game they break out big.

Final Stat: Before the New York game, Indy was 6-1 at home in their last 7 games with an average of 28.1 PPG. Jacksonville hasn’t scored 28 pts in a game since 12/1/13 vs Cleveland.

Game 2: Seattle vs. Detroit

The Initial Line:

Seattle -10 home vs. Detroit

The Take:

Add 7.5 points to Seattle’s line

The Final Line:

Seattle +2.5

The Breakdown:

Seattle got a season-saving win Sunday as well, defeating Chicago in convincing fashion 26-0. Detroit once again lost to Denver, as they fell to 0-3 on the year. Seattle finally is starting to look like the team that was dominant in 2014, and that’s in large part due to the return of Kam Chancellor. Not only is he a playmaker, but he is an emotional leader that makes all of the players around him better. That showed on Sunday, as they held Chicago to 10 punts on 10 drives which hasn’t happened in over 50 years. They need to keep their momentum going, and should have a great opportunity against a struggling Detroit offense. Plus it doesn’t hurt to have the 12th man behind them, as they continue their home dominance against opponents. Grab them at -2.5 here, although I think it’s very likely this one is won by more than a TD.

Final Stat: Home field definitely helps Seattle, as they are 15-2 in their last 17 regular season home games.

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