Pick 1: New England vs. Dallas and Atlanta vs. Washington

Pick 1: New England vs. Dallas and Atlanta vs. Washington

The Teaser: Pair New England and Atlanta

Game 1: New England vs. Dallas

The Initial Line:

New England -9 away vs. Dallas

The Take:

Add 6.5 points to New England’ line

The Final Line:

New England -2.5

The Breakdown:

New England had a bye week after their dominant 3-0 start to the 2015 season. Dallas lost a close battle in OT to New Orleans, fallin to 2-2 overall (and 0-2 with Weeden at QB). Now New England travels off 2 weeks rest down to Dallas where they should have another shot at big points. They’ve put up at least 28 points in each game this season. Brady currently ranks 5th in passing yards despite playing 1 fewer game than everyone else, and should have a chance for big yards against a Dallas D that ranks 19th in pass yds allowed. The Dallas offense also has looked a little different since Romo has been hurt, as they averaged 398 yds/game in the first 2 games and 341 in the 2 games since. Neither defense is spectacular, but bottom line is Brandon Weeden won’t be able to keep up with the production of Tom Brady. Sean Lee and Lance Dunbar also suffered big injuries last week, so Dallas will be playing with yet more backups. Take New England to win under the FG here, although they likely won’t need it.

Final Stat: Since week 5 of 2014 (1 year), Tom Brady is 16-2 includng playoffs. He would be 16-1 if you don’t count week 17 of 2014 where he sat most of the game.

Game 2: Atlanta vs. Washington

The Initial Line:

Atlanta -9 home vs. Washington

The Take:

Add 6.5 points to Atlanta’s line

The Final Line:

Atlanta -2.5

The Breakdown:

Atlanta was able to defeat Houston convincingly 48-21 on Sunday to move to 4-0 on the season. Washington was also able to get a victory against divisional rival Philadelphia with a 23-20 victory. Atlanta’s offense has been firing on all cylinders this season with both the passing game and running game. Matt Ryan has passed for over 1,200 yds, Julio Jones has 478 receiving yds for 4 TDs, and Devonta Freeman has rushed for 252 yds and an NFL leading 7 TDs. Their defense has been decent, but with an offense that’s averaging 34 PPG they only have to be decent. Washington sits at 2-2 currently, but Kirk Cousins doesn’t have quite the explosive offense that Matt Ryan has. Also Washington isn’t usually a great road team, while Atlanta tends to do much better at home. Keep riding the momentum train of Atlanta and take them to win by a FG here.

Final Stat: Devonta Freeman has 7 rush TDs this season, compared to 0 by Alfred Morris.

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