Pick 2: Denver vs. Oakland and Seattle vs. Cincinnati

Pick 2: Denver vs. Oakland and Seattle vs. Cincinnati

The Teaser: Pair Denver and Seattle

Game 1: Denver vs. Oakland

The Initial Line:

Denver -5 away vs. Oakland

The Take:

Add 8.5 points to Denver’s line

The Final Line:

Denver +3.5

The Breakdown:

Denver held on for the victory vs Minnesota and they now sit at 4-0 for the season. Oakland lost on the road to Chicago, moving to 2-2 in 2015. Now Denver goes on the road to take on a divisional foe who they’ve had great success against in recent years. They have won their last 7 dating back to 2011, including all games with Peyton Manning at the helm. This Oakland offense does show some promise behind Derek Carr, who’s shining in his 2nd year. However he will have his first big test against a Denver defense that ranks 1st in yards allowed. Manning may not have the arm he used to but he should still be able to move the ball vs Oakland’s D; however, I’m not sure Derek Carr can keep up. Take Denver here, and give them some insurance points in case Oakland pulls out the last minute miracle.

Final Stat: Denver is 1st in yards allowed/game with 275, while Oakland ranks 31st with 404 PPG allowed.

Game 2: Seattle vs. Cincinnati

The Initial Line:

Seattle +2.5 away vs. Cincinnati

The Take:

Add 8.5 points to Seattle’s line

The Final Line:

Seattle +11

The Breakdown:

Seattle pulled out a controversial win on Monday Night Football vs Detroit, as it appeared that Detroit should have gotten another shot. Cincinnati has continued to look dominant, as they moved to 4-0 with a victory over Kansas City. I see this game as a potential upset of Cincinnati. A lot of people are riding their bandwagon at the moment, but let’s step back for a second. Andy Dalton is playing the best football of his life, yet he hasn’t really played a tough defense thus far (Oak, SD, Bal, KC). Seattle ranks 2nd in yds allowed per game, and has vastly improved since the return of Kam Chancellor. Seattle will probably be able to move the ball against Cincinnati’s 19th ranked defense as well, and will have a better shot if Marshawn Lynch is able to return. Nevertheless this will be a competitive game, and it seems likely that this may come down to a last minute FG. Grabbing Seattle at +11 should be more than enough points to cover this game.

Final Stat: Seattle gave up 29 PPG in 2 games without Chancellor, but only 5 PPG in the 2 games since his return.

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