Pick 3: New York (NFC) vs. San Francisco and St. Louis vs. Green Bay

Pick 3: New York (NFC) vs. San Francisco and St. Louis vs. Green Bay

The Teaser: Pair New York (NFC) and St. Louis

Game 1: New York (NFC) vs. San Francisco

The Initial Line:

New York (NFC) -7.5 home vs. San Francisco

The Take:

Add 7 points to New York (NFC)’s line

The Final Line:

New York (NFC) -0.5

The Breakdown:

New York was able to go into Buffalo to pick up the road win, and they now sit at 2-2 on the season. San Francisco suffered their 3 straight defeat, this time a 17-3 loss at home vs Green Bay. Now New York gets to travel home to play the woeful SF crew, who has scored the least points in the NFL. Colin Kaepernick hasn’t been able to find a rhythm all season, as he has the 3rd lowest QB rating among all QBs who have seen snaps this season. The defense hasn’t helped out either, as they rank 23rd in yds allowed and 28th in pts allowed on the season. New York’s defense has also given up some yds ranking 26th in the league, but they have a Dr Jekyll and Mr Hyde situation happening where the rank 1st in rush yds allowed but last in pass yds allowed. This style should help them with containing Kaepernick and Co and they tend to run the ball more successfully than pass. Take New York to win this one at home.

Final Stat: NY is tied for 4th with a +5 turnover differential, meanwhile SF ranks 30th at -5.

Game 2: St. Louis vs. Green Bay

The Initial Line:

St. Louis +10.5 away vs. Green Bay

The Take:

Add 7 points to St. Louis’s line

The Final Line:

St. Louis +17.5

The Breakdown:

St. Louis pulled one of the biggest upsets of the weekend, going into Arizona and taking down their undefeated squad 24-22. Green Bay was able to roll over SF with ease, winning 17-3 on the road. STL now faces another tough task in Green Bay. Aaron Rodgers hasn’t thrown an INT at home since week 13 of 2012; this tough STL defense might have something to say about that. They currently sit at 2-2 after playing some of the toughest teams in the NFL (SEA, ARI, PIT, WASH). They face another tough test in Green Bay, who has scored the 5th most points in the NFL and seems almost unbeatable at home. The key will be to pressure Rodgers, which shouldn’t be an issue for a team that is tied for 2nd in sacks. They have shown that they can hold down and defeat the best offense in the league, let’s see if they can do it again. Take them at +17.5 here.

Final Stat: Todd Gurley wen off for 146 yds rushing last week (7.7 YPC), and should find success against a GB team who ranks 21st in rush yds allowed.

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