Pick 2: Green Bay vs. San Diego and Minnesota vs. Kansas City

Pick 2: Green Bay vs. San Diego and Minnesota vs. Kansas City

The Teaser: Pair Green Bay and Minnesota

Game 1: Green Bay vs. San Diego

The Initial Line:

Green Bay -11.5 home vs. San Diego

The Take:

Add 8.5 points to Green Bay’s line

The Final Line:

Green Bay -3

The Breakdown:

Green Bay kept its undefeated streak alive by defeating St. Louis at home 24-10. San Diego lost on the last play at home to Pittsburgh 24-20 to move to 2-3 on the year. It seems like SD keeps that streak of being mediocre alive every year in recent memory. Although they rank 2nd in total offensive yards, they still only rank 13th in points scored. The addition of Antonio Gates should help with those redzone opportunities. The defense also isn’t helping much, as they rank 23rd in pts allowed. Compare that to a Green Bay team that is a lot more balanced (5th in pts scored, 6th in pts allowed), and it spells a 2-4 start for SD. Also it’s pretty tough to walk into Lambeau Field an expect a W. Take the Pack here.

Final Stat: Green Bay hasn’t lost at home since 12/22/13, a string of 12 straight wins.

Game 2: Minnesota vs. Kansas City

The Initial Line:

Minnesota -4 home vs. Kansas City

The Take:

Add 8.5 points to Minnesota’s line

The Final Line:

Minnesota +4.5

The Breakdown:

Minnesota got to enjoy a bye week after a road loss to Denver in week 4. Kansas City had a hugely disappointing game, getting upset by Chicago 18-17, but more importantly losing their star RB Jamaal Charles for the year with an ACL injury. Now Minnesota is well rested and gets to play a depleted KC team at home, where they are 2-0 on the year. I think it’s safe to say that Adrian Peterson is back, as he is averaging 93 yds/game (114 yds/game without the 31 yd performance in game 1). The defense has also been performing well, ranking 6th in the league in pts allowed/game. Kansas City will need to develop a new offensive gameplan, as they base most of their attack behind the Charles running game. I think this is going to be a transition week for them, and they will most likely sputter against a strong defense. Take Minnesota in this one, as they worst case would lose on a late FG.

Final Stat: Besides their offensive loss in Charles, KC ranks 29th in pts allowed/game.

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