Pick 3: New England vs. Indianapolis and Cleveland vs. Denver

Pick 3: New England vs. Indianapolis and Cleveland vs. Denver

The Teaser: Pair New England and Cleveland

Game 1: New England vs. Indianapolis

The Initial Line:

New England -8 away vs. Indianapolis

The Take:

Add 7.5 points to New England’s line

The Final Line:

New England -0.5

The Breakdown:

New England rolled to another victory on the road, defeating Dallas 30-7 to remain undefeated on the year. Indy was able to pull out the road victory behind Hasselback 27-20 after they got a late INT. It’s been keep pretty quiet about which QB will start for Indy Sunday, as Luck is the face of the franchise but is 0-2 on the year with a 5TD/7INT line. Meanwhile 40yr old Hasselback stepped in and is 2-0 with a 3TD/0INT stat line. Arguably it doesn’t matter who they start at QB, since the team on the other side of the ball seems also unstoppable at this point. The 38yr old Brady looks like he’s in his prime with an 11TD/0INT stat line averaging 347 pass yds/game and has the highest QB rating at 121.5. Due to Brady’s play the defense has been a bit overlooked, but they are also excelling allowing the 7th fewest PPG. Let’s not forget that Brady’s whole Deflategate controversy started with Indy pointing out the pressures in the footballs. Get ready for Brady to go off in this one once again, as NE should roll to a victory here.

Final Stat: In the last 4 matchups between NE and IND, NE is 4-0, has averaged 47 PPG and has won by an average of 29 pts.

Game 2: Cleveland vs. Denver

The Initial Line:

Cleveland +4 home vs. Denver

The Take:

Add 7.5 points to Cleveland’s line

The Final Line:

Cleveland +11.5

The Breakdown:

Cleveland went on the road to get the upset against division rival Baltimore, beating them in OT 33-30. Denver was able to pull out the road victory vs Oakland 16-10 to remain undefeated on the year. With all the questions at QB in Cle, Josh McCown is showing why he thinks he should be the starter. The last 3 games, he has thrown for an average of 385 pass yds with a 6TD/1INT stat line. Surprisingly enough he is greatly outperforming his opponent in Peyton Manning, who lately is showing his age and is doing his best to just manage the offense enough to be victorious. His stat line over the same 3 game stretch is 268 pass yds/game and a 3TD/5INT ratio. Luckily for Denver they have a stellar defense, as they currently rank 2nd in PPG allowed at 15.8. They will be missing a big piece of that defense in this game though, as Demarcus Ware (4.5 sacks, tied for 2nd in NFL) has been ruled out with a back injury. Cleveland should keep this one close, and will be excited to be the home underdog. Take them with some insurance points here.

Final Stat: Peyton Manning is in a clear decline, as his yards/attempt (6.5), TD % (3.2) and QB rating (77.3) are the lowest since his rookie season in 1998.

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