Pick 4: Cleveland vs. St. Louis and Seattle vs. San Francisco

Pick 4: Cleveland vs. St. Louis and Seattle vs. San Francisco

The Teaser: Pair Cleveland and Seattle

Game 1: Cleveland vs. St. Louis

The Initial Line:

Cleveland +4.5 away vs. St. Louis

The Take:

Add 7 points to Cleveland’s line

The Final Line:

Cleveland +11.5

The Breakdown:

Cleveland suffered a tough OT loss at home to Denver Sunday 26-23. St. Louis got to enjoy a bye week after a 2-3 start to the year. St. Louis has had a solid defensive start to the year, as they rank 6th in yards allowed. However it’s been the offensive production that’s been a concern. Nick Foles ranks 30th in pass yds with an average under 200/game, and also ranks 29th in QB rating. Maybe surprisingly Josh McCown has done well on the offensive side of the ball, ranking 8th is pass yds and 12th in QB rating. Both defenses have been able to force turnovers, as St. Louis has 9 with Cleveland right behind at 8. The key in this one will be slowing down Todd Gurley, who has surged lately for St. Louis with over 300 rush yds for the last 2 games. This one should be a low scoring defensive game, so take Cleveland with an 11.5 point cushion here.

Final Stat: St. Louis ranks last in total yards on offense and 31st in pts scored.

Game 2: Seattle vs. San Francisco

The Initial Line:

Seattle -7 away vs. San Francisco

The Take:

Add 7 points to Seattle’s line

The Final Line:

Seattle even

The Breakdown:

Seattle had yet another 4th quarter meltdown Sunday, and fell to undefeated Carolina at home 27-23. San Francisco was able to get the home win vs Baltimore 25-20. Both of these teams now sit at 2-4 in the NFC West, although most will argue that Seattle is a much more superior team. All 4 of Seattle’s losses have come with 4th quarter comebacks by their opponents. For a team that has one the best defenses around and was thought of as a super bowl favorite before the season, this is a concern. However luckily for them they get to play teams like San Francisco, who really just hasn’t done much on either side of the ball. The rank last in average ppg (16.7) and 25th in points allowed (26.7). Even with all of their mistakes, Seattle still has a shot in the NFC West, but they need to beat teams like San Francisco who are weaker on both sides of the ball. Expect them to take care of business here and move to 3-4.

Final Stat: Seattle has won their last 3 meetings vs SF, with an average win margin of 10.7 PPG.

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