Pick 1: Atlanta vs. Tampa Bay and Carolina vs. Indianapolis

Pick 1: Atlanta vs. Tampa Bay and Carolina vs. Indianapolis

The Teaser: Pair Atlanta and Carolina

Game 1: Atlanta vs. Tampa Bay

The Initial Line:

Atlanta -7.5 home vs. Tampa Bay

The Take:

Add 7 points to Atlanta’s line

The Final Line:

Atlanta -0.5

The Breakdown:

Atlanta was able to pull out the road win 10-7 against Tennessee to move to 6-1 on the season. Tampa Bay was up big but then blew a huge lead to fall to Washington 31-30. This is a matchup of divisional foes going in opposite directions. Atlanta looks primed for the playoffs with a strong offensive showing out of the gate. Tampa Bay is doing all it can not to tread water behind rookie QB Jameis Winston. Atlanta has an offensive player in the top 5 in all 3 major categories (Matt Ryan/passing yards, Devonta Freeman/rushing yards, Julio Jones/receiving yards). This spells trouble for a Tampa Bay defense that ranks last in points allowed/game (29.8 PPG). Atlanta also has a proven track record of playing in the Georgia Dome. Take Atlanta to keep their strong season going and move to 7-1.

Final Stat: Atlanta has won all of its home games thus far by an average of 11.7 PPG.

Game 2: Carolina vs. Indianapolis

The Initial Line:

Carolina -7.5 home vs. Indianapolis

The Take:

Add 7 points to Carolina’s line

The Final Line:

Carolina -0.5

The Breakdown:

Carolina continued their winning ways, defeating Philadelphia at home 27-16 to remain undefeated. Indianapolis continues to struggle even though they still sit in 1st in the AFC South, as they fell 27-21 to New Orleans. If it weren’t for such a bad division, Indy would already thinking about their plans for next season as they have underperformed greatly. Carolina has exceeded all expectations by remaining one of the 5 unbeaten teams through week 8 (NE, Cin, Den, GB). Their defense is just tough to beat, as they continue to make plays ranking 6th in points allowed. Indy’s “potent” offense doesn’t look as advertised, as they rank 23rd in PPG and keep forcing turnovers behind Andrew Luck. They are also not built to have a defense that will carry them, as Cam Newton should be able to move the ball well (Carolina is 6th in PPG). Take the home team here to remain undefeated.

Final Stat: Carolina’s turnover differential is +4, compared to Indianapolis who is -8.

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