Pick 2: New England vs. Miami and New York (AFC) vs. Miami

Pick 2: New England vs. Miami and New York (AFC) vs. Miami

The Teaser: Pair New England and New York (AFC)

Game 1: New England vs. Miami

The Initial Line:

New England -9 home vs. Miami

The Take:

Add 8.5 points to New England’s line

The Final Line:

New England -0.5

The Breakdown:

New England kept their momentum going, as they took down the #1 defense in New York 30-23 to remain undefeated. Miami has found resurgence since selecting Dan Campbell as head coach, winning their second straight game 44-26 over Houston. New England and Miami games are always a good rivalry matchup, as they have each won 2 games over their last 4 matchups. However New England has won 6 in a row at home, and show no signs of letting up as of late. They currently lead the league in PPG (35.5), and this is in large part to Tom Brady’s revenge tour after the Deflategate controversy. He is on pace to be the league MVP with Gronk, Edelman, and Amendola as his top weapons, and the emergence of Dion Lewis and Blount out of the backfield has been a nice compliment. Miami has looked like a different team lately, but let’s not forget that they were playing against a weak Tennessee and Houston team. New England is a whole different kind of challenge, and Miami won’t have the firepower to keep up. They should roll to victory here on TNF, so take the home team in Gillette.

Final Stat: Tom Brady has the best TD/INT ratio in the league (16 TD/ 1 INT).

Game 2: New York (AFC) vs. Oakland

The Initial Line:

New York -1 away vs. Oakland

The Take:

Add 8.5 points to New York’s line

The Final Line:

New York +7.5

The Breakdown:

New York suffered their second defeat at the hands of their division rival, losing to New England 30-23. Oakland came off of the bye on fire, as they came on strong in San Diego and held on for the win 37-29. Despite giving up 353 yards to the #1 offense, New York still ranks 2nd in yards allowed for the year behind Denver. They also showed that their offense can produce as well, putting up 372 yards on the road beind Fitzpatricks’ 295 yds through the air and 2 TDs (would have been 3 were it not for a drop by Brandon Marshall in the endzone). Oakland has had its moments where they look like a promising team, but bottom line is that they are just not the same caliber as New York right now. Oakland’s offense is slightly worse than New York in terms of yards gained, but the defenses are drastically different (2nd vs 17th). Home field gives Oakland a little confidence, but New York is the better team and should win this one. Take some insurance just in case.

Final Stat: Against elite defenses (Cincinnati, Denver), Oakland has averaged 11.5 PPG (New York is #2 defense in the league). Against all other teams they average 30.2 PPG.

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