Pick 1: Cincinnati vs. Cleveland and Miami vs. Buffalo

Pick 1: Cincinnati vs. Cleveland and Miami vs. Buffalo

The Teaser: Pair Cincinnati and Miami

Game 1: Cincinnati vs. Cleveland

The Initial Line:

Cincinnati -11.5 home vs. Cleveland

The Take:

Add 8.5 points to Cincinnati’s line

The Final Line:

Cincinnati -3

The Breakdown:

Cincinnati kept their momentum going with a road win against division rival Pittsburgh 16-10. Cleveland couldn’t hold off Arizona, as they let a 20-3 lead slip and fell 34-20 at home. Now the classic Ohio matchup will be on display once again, as Cleveland tries to go into Cincinnati to end their perfect season. This should prove challenging however, as Cincinnati continues to dominate on both sides of the ball. Cleveland has had their struggles, and the one bright spot for them in Josh McCown won’t be available so Johnny Manziel will be taking the reins at QB. Other injuries have also piled up for Cleveland, as Joe Haden and Donte Whitner from the secondary and Brian Hartline was on the injury report Monday with a concussion. Cincinnati is tough enough to beat healthy, but even with this rivalry Cincinnati should be able to dominate both sides of the ball easily and take this game.

Final Stat: Cincinnati’s pass defense is 2nd in terms of opponent QBR this season (41.3).

Game 2: Miami vs. Buffalo

The Initial Line:

Miami +3 away vs. Buffalo

The Take:

Add 8.5 points to Miami’s line

The Final Line:

Miami +11.5

The Breakdown:

Miami’s newfound resurgence was halted at the hands of division rival New England, as they lost on the road 36-7. Buffalo got a much needed bye week after losing 2 straight and moving to 3-4 on the season. This should be a great game against 2 divisional foes that both need a win. There is a lot of uncertainty in the AFC past the 3 undefeated teams (NE, Cin, and Den). Someone will claim the horrible AFC South, but that leaves 2 playoff spots up for grabs. Currently only 2 other teams in the AFC sit above .500 (New York, Oakland), and that leaves opportunity for the rest of the conference. Both teams are tied for 18th in points allowed/game (24.7). Miami has gained slightly more yds on offense, but Buffalo has scored more points. Buffalo should be getting QB Tyrod Taylor back this week, but they suffered a big loss in DT Kyle Williams to injury. Miami did suffer a big loss in DE Cameron Wake last week as well. Expect this to be a tight game ending within 1 score, so we should be safe with Miami +11.5 here.

Final Stat: Buffalo is only 1-3 on the season at home, so favoring them by 3 for home-field advantage doesn’t factor in much here.

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