Pick 2: New England vs. Washington and Carolina vs. Green Bay

Pick 2: New England vs. Washington and Carolina vs. Green Bay

The Teaser: Pair New England and Carolina

Game 1: New England vs. Washington

The Initial Line:

New England -14.5 home vs. Washington

The Take:

Add 8 points to New England’s line

The Final Line:

New England -6.5

The Breakdown:

New England kept their momentum going with a dominant 36-7 win over division rival Miami. Washington enjoyed a bye week after a 3-4 start to the season. NE has been ranked #1 in the power rankings all season, and rightfully so. The offense is just straight dominant, as Tom Brady is headlining his revenge tour with a 20-1 TD/INT ratio (best in the NFL). The offense only has 3 total turnovers on the year (best in NFL) and none of those have come at home. What is unknown to most is that the defense is doing their job as well. They rank 8th in the NFL in points allowed/game (19 PPG), and that is more than enough to support the offensive attack every week. Washington is 0-3 on the road this season, losing by an average of 10.3 PPG in those games. NE is primed for another super bowl run, and even after the bye Washington doesn’t have the firepower to keep up with Tom Brady and Co. Take the home team here.

Final Stat: NE has only lost 1 home game the last 3 years, and that came in week 17 where most of the offensive starters were sitting.

Game 2: Carolina vs. Green Bay

The Initial Line:

Carolina +2.5 home vs. Green Bay

The Take:

Add 8 points to Carolina’s line

The Final Line:

Carolina +10.5

The Breakdown:

Carolina was able to hold off Indianapolis and pull out the OT win at home to stay undefeated 29-26. Green Bay suffered one of their worst losses in recent history, falling on the road to Denver 29-10. Aaron Rodgers only passed for 77 yds in week 8, his lowest total as a healthy starter in his career. A big part of that was because he was constantly pressured, and sacked a total of 3 times. His defense didn’t help him out either. They failed to record a sack for the first time after 42 consecutive games with at least 1 (NFL record). Carolina let a lead slip away in their last game, but they have still dominated opponents overall. Their defense should also give the Green Bay offense some problems, as they rank 5th in turnovers forced and 10th in yards allowed. This should be a tight game, but giving Carolina more than a 10 pt cushion at home with their defense and undefeated record seems like a safe bet.

Final Stat: Green Bay is not a great road team despite their dominance the last 2 years. Since 2014 they are 12-0 at home but only 6-5 on the road.

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