Pick 4: Oakland vs. Pittsburgh and Denver vs. Indianapolis

Pick 4: Oakland vs. Pittsburgh and Denver vs. Indianapolis

The Teaser: Pair Oakland and Denver

Game 1: Oakland vs. Pittsburgh

The Initial Line:

Oakland +4.5 away vs. Pittsburgh

The Take:

Add 7.5 points to Oakland’s line

The Final Line:

Oakland +12

The Breakdown:

Oakland kept their momentum going, defeating New York 34-20 at home. Pittsburgh lost a tight game at home to undefeated divisional rival Cincinnati 16-10. These are 2 teams that are currently fighting for playoff positioning in the AFC. Big Ben just came back from injury, but looked a little rusty as he threw 3 INTs vs Cincinnati. Oakland has looked great since coming off their bye week, winning 2 straight. Pittsburgh just can’t shake the injuries, as Le’Veon Bell went down for the year and will be replaced by Deangelo Williams. It may be surprising to some, but Derek Carr actually ranks 5th in the NFL in QB rating, which is a big reason for Oakland’s success. They feel like a team who finally has a chance to win, and should give Pittsburgh a tough battle even on the road. Expect these 2 teams to go back and forth the whole game with the winner being decided late in the 4th quarter. A 12 pt cushion for Oakland should be more than enough to cover.

Final Stat: Pittsburgh D ranks 26th in pass yds/game, which should bode well for a hot Derek Carr.

Game 2: Denver vs. Indianapolis

The Initial Line:

Denver -3 away vs. Indianapolis

The Take:

Add 7.5 points to Denver’s line

The Final Line:

Denver +4.5

The Breakdown:

Denver pulled one of the biggest upsets of the weekend, easily defeating undefeated Green Bay 29-10. Indianapolis tried to rally late against undefeated Carolina, but fell short in a 29-26 OT loss. Peyton Manning will have the opportunity to have the most wins as a QB ever if he pulls off the victory against his former team. He has looked shaky all year until this past week, where he passed for 340 yds and had a 93.6 QBR. The Denver defense has spoken for themselves the whole season, as they lead the league in yards and points allowed/game. Indianapolis has been inconsistent for the entire season on offense, and it culminated with the firing of their offensive coordinator this past week. Andrew Luck ranks 32nd in QB rating this year after looking so promising the last few seasons, but some of that is due to a poor OL. Denver is 1 of the 4 teams who remains undefeated going into week 9, and they should be able to handle a mediocre Indy team even on the road. Peyton Manning will be the winniest QB ever by week’s end, take Denver here.

Final Stat:Indy has the worst turnover differential in the NFL (-9), while Denver ranks 4th (+5) despite Manning’s 11 INT.

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