Divisional Playoffs Pick 1: Atlanta vs. Seattle and Green Bay vs. Dallas

Divisional Playoffs Pick 1: Atlanta vs. Seattle and Green Bay vs. Dallas

The Teaser: Pair Atlanta and Green Bay

Game 1: Atlanta vs. Seattle

The Initial Line:

Atlanta -4.5 home vs. Seattle

The Take:

Add 8 points to Atlanta’s line

The Final Line:

Atlanta +3.5

The Breakdown:

Atlanta was able to enjoy a bye week during wild card weekend after going 11-5 on the year and clinching the #2 seed in the NFC. Seattle was able to roll at home against Detroit 26-6 to move onto the divisional round. Seattle looked dominant in front of their home crowd, but if there playoff history tells us anything it’s that they’re not as dominant a team on the road. They’ve won 10 straight home playoff games in front of the home crowd, but are only 2-5 over that same stretch on the road including a loss in the divisional round last season to Carolina 31-24. They’ve shown this trend during the season as well as they were only 3-4-1 on the road with a -29 point differential. The run game carried them last week, but a shaky O-line makes that hard to depend upon. Atlanta was the highest scoring offense in the NFL with 33.8 PPG, and they should be able to put up points at home against a Seattle defense who’s been seriously missing Earl Thomas. If the Atlanta defense can generate a pass rush against Seattle’s weak O-line than they can control the game. It should still be competitive but Atlanta’s the better team here. Take them with some extra points in case Seattle’s playoff magic kicks in.

Game 2: Green Bay vs. Dallas

The Initial Line:

Green Bay +4.5 away vs. Dallas

The Take:

Add 8 points to Green Bay’s line

The Final Line:

Green Bay +12.5

The Breakdown:

Green Bay’s offense kicked into gear in the 2nd half of their wild card game, as was able to come away with a dominant home victory 38-13. Dallas got the #1 seed and a bye week after going 13-3 behind the stellar play of their offensive line and star rookies Ezekiel Elliott and Dak Prescott. Not much more could have gone right for Dallas on the year, as they had the NFL’s leading rusher in Elliott and Prescott had the 3rd best QBR. The question will be if that can translate that into playoff success, as their offense is controlled by two rookies who have never been there. On the other side you have an offense led by Aaron Rodgers, who’s currently the hottest QB in the NFL and has led his team to 7 straight victories dating back to week 11. Their offense ranked 8th in the NFL and they ranked 6th in turnover differential, as Rodgers hasn’t thrown an INT over the course of the win streak. This should be a great game, and Green Bay will face a tough task going on the road potentially without Jordy Nelson. However, he’s been carrying the team on his shoulders the last few weeks and will keep them in it to the end. 12 points should be more than plenty to cover the final score, assuming they don’t win outright.

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