Divisional Playoffs Pick 2: New England vs. Houston and Pittsburgh vs. Kansas City

Divisional Playoffs Pick 2: New England vs. Houston and Pittsburgh vs. Kansas City

The Teaser: Pair New England and Pittsburgh

Game 1: New England vs. Houston

The Initial Line:

New England -15.5 home vs. Houston

The Take:

Add 8.5 points to New England’s line

The Final Line:

New England -7

The Breakdown:

New England got the #1 seed after having the NFL’s best record at 14-2 and ending the season on a 7 game win streak. Houston was able to do enough with Osweiler against the 3rd string QB Cook for Oakland, as they secured the 27-14 home victory on Wild Card Weekend. Currently this is one of the largest spread seen on a playoff game in the last 30 years. Houston’s strength is it’s defense, but it wasn’t able to stop New England on the road in week 3 when they lost to 3rd string QB Jacoby Brissett. Houston has now lost their last 5 games against New England dating back to 2012 by an average margin of 18.4 PPG. New England has shown that they can find ways to beat elite defenses especially at Foxborough, and their defense has gone a bit under the radar as well as they were #1 in the NFL in PPG allowed (15.6). This game should be a blowout by all accounts, so getting New England just to win by a TD should be handled easily.

Game 2: Pittsburgh vs. Kansas City

The Initial Line:

Pittsburgh +1.5 away vs. Kansas City

The Take:

Add 8.5 points to Pittsburgh’s line

The Final Line:

Pittsburgh +10

The Breakdown:

Pittsburgh was able to handle Miami easily in the Wild Card round, as they got the home victory 30-12. Kansas City got to enjoy a bye week with the #2 seed, as they finished off the season with a 12-4 record. When Pittsburgh’s offense is rolling they’re a tough team to beat, and they’re doing that right now after 8 straight victories. Le’Veon Bell led the Big 3 with a 167 yd rush attack and 2 TDs, which is part of a Pittsburgh offense that ranked 7th in the yards gained. Kansas City has a different approach than Pittsburgh, as they rely on their defense and ball management to control games. It seems like KC has the clear edge on defense, but in terms of points allowed it’s a lot closer than many think (7th in NFL for Kc vs 10th for Pit). Pittsburgh won big earlier this season against KC on their home field 43-14, and although Arrowhead is a tough play to play I see this being a tight game to the end given Pittsburgh’s firepower on offense with Bell, Brown, and Big Ben. Take Pittsburgh with the points here as they’ll keep it close win or lose.

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