Take San Diego at +7.5 away vs. Kansas City
San Diego had a disappointing 2015 campaign, finishing last in the AFC West division with a 4-12 record. Kansas City ended the 2015 season reeling off 10 straight wins and a wild card victory, only to see their season end at the hands of New England in Foxboro. Although San Diego seemed to be a very poor team, many of their losses were close last season – 9 of their 12 losses were by 8pts or less. They also still have one of the best QBs in the game, as Philip Rivers ended with a 66% completion percentage and 29 TDs. By comparison, Alex Smith only had 20 TDs and he depends on his surrounding cast more often than not. Kansas City is always a tough team at home and still has a strong defense, but San Diego has made improvements to their defense as well with the signing of 1st round pick Joey Bosa. Expect this to be a tight divisional battle in the opener, and even if KC edges out the win Rivers can keep this a one score game.