Teaser Pick 1: New Orleans vs. Carolina and Dallas vs. Baltimore

Teaser Pick 1: New Orleans vs. Carolina and Dallas vs. Baltimore

The Teaser: Pair New Orleans and Dallas

Game 1: New Orleans vs. Carolina

The Initial Line:

New Orleans +3.5 away vs. Carolina

The Take:

Add 7 points to New Orleans’s line

The Final Line:

New Orleans +10.5

The Breakdown:

New Orleans had a heartbreaking loss handed to them by Denver at home, as a blocked PAT returned for 2 sunk them 25-23. Carolina also had a gut wrenching loss at home, as they were up 17-0 but had a few late turnovers to let Kansas City steal the victory 20-17. After it seemed like Atlanta would run away with the division, a couple losses have made the NFC South a lot more wide open. Carolina had a rough start to the season but is only 2.5 games back, while NO is only 1.5 back. New Orleans has had the best offense in the NFL in terms of yards/game (427.7), and a lot of that is thanks to Drew Brees and his group of young receivers. Carolina has been an average team on offense and defense, but the turnovers have really killed them. They are ranked 29th in turnover differential at -7, while New Orleans is ranked 12th at +2. This should be a good back-and-forth game as both teams try to gain ground in the division, but I could see New Orleans getting a victory. Even if they lose they have the firepower on offense to keep it close.

Game 2: Dallas vs. Baltimore

The Initial Line:

Dallas -7.5 home vs. Baltimore

The Take:

Add 7 points to Dallas’s line

The Final Line:

Dallas -0.5

The Breakdown:

Dallas won one of the most epic shootouts of the year on the road, as Elliott’s last minute TD sunk Pittsburgh 35-30. Baltimore got the home win on Thursday Night Football, as they took down the winless Cleveland squad 28-7. Dallas has almost been unstoppable this season, as they’ve won 8 straight and their only loss came by 1 pt on opening night. The combination of a dominant O-line with rookies Ezekiel Elliott and Dak Prescott has been lethal, and the defense has actually been surprisingly adequate as well. Baltimore might be leading the AFC North, but they don’t feel like a team that’s been dominating opponents. Besides the dominating win over the worst team in the league in Cleveland, they haven’t won a game by more than 7 pts all season. Their defense has been strong leading the NFL in yards allowed, but they’ll face a tough test going against Dallas’ 1st ranked rushing attack. Baltimore has also committed 14 turnovers vs Dallas’ 7, and that may be the difference in the game. At this point, betting on Dallas is a great decision, and getting them to win at home on an 8 game win streak is about as much a lock as anything else.

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