Teaser Pick 1: Tampa Bay vs. San Diego and Kansas City vs. Atlanta

Teaser Pick 1: Tampa Bay vs. San Diego and Kansas City vs. Atlanta

The Teaser: Pair Tampa Bay and Kansas City

Game 1: Tampa Bay vs. San Diego

The Initial Line:

Tampa Bay +4 away vs. San Diego

The Take:

Add 7.5 points to Tampa Bay’s line

The Final Line:

Tampa Bay +11.5

The Breakdown:

Tampa Bay got a huge upset home victory this past weekend, as they took down Seattle 14-5. San Diego was able to get a road win as well, as they slowed down Houston at home 21-13. Tampa Bay looks like a team on a mission these past couple of weeks, gaining 3 consecutive victories with the last two over powerhouses Kansas City on the road and Seattle at home. Their defense should earn a lot of the credit during this stretch, as they have let up an average of 10.7 PPG over that time. They are only 1 game back of Atlanta in the NFC South, and will have to prove themselves by slowing down San Diego’s potent offense. If the defense can generate some pressure against Philip Rivers they’ll have a good shot at success, as they’ve forced 5 turnovers in the past 2 games. With 27 sacks on the season (10th in NFL), they may be able to achieve this. I expect a back and forth game here, and this will likely end in a one possession game as all but 2 of SD’s games have. Take Tampa Bay with the points here as they’ll keep it close win or lose.

Game 2: Kansas City vs. Atlanta

The Initial Line:

Kansas City +4 away vs. Atlanta

The Take:

Add 7.5 points to Kansas City’s line

The Final Line:

Kansas City +11.5

The Breakdown:

Kansas City pulled out a stunning victory on Sunday Night Football, as they took down divisional rival Denver on the road 30-27 in OT. Atlanta came off their bye week fresh, as they cruised to a home win over Arizona 38-19. Atlanta has been known as an offensive juggernaut all season, as they rank 1st in the NFL in PPG (32.5). However, they will face a tough test this weekend as they go up against Kansas City’s 8th ranked defense. Both teams do a good job of protecting the football as well, although KC is by far the best team in the NFL with a +14 turnover differential. Kansas City has the better record than Atlanta sitting at 8-3, and despite a 43-14 week 2 loss at Pittsburgh they haven’t lost by more than 7 pts. They have also won 6 of their last 7 with a +47 point differential. Expect a well fought game by both teams in this one, but grabbing KC at +11.5 seems like a no brainer given the strength of their defense.

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