Teaser Pick 1: Tennessee vs. Kansas City and Detroit vs. New York Giants

Teaser Pick 1: Tennessee vs. Kansas City and Detroit vs. New York Giants

The Teaser: Pair Tennessee and Detroit

Game 1: Tennessee vs. Kansas City

The Initial Line:

Tennessee +5.5 away vs. Kansas City

The Take:

Add 6 points to Tennessee’s line

The Final Line:

Tennessee +11.5

The Breakdown:

Tennessee was able to get an important home victory this past week, as they took down the defending champs Denver 13-10. Kansas City kept their winning streak alive on Thursday Night Football, as they got a huge win at home over Oakland 21-13. One of the most improved teams this season has been Tennessee, as they’ve went from 3-13 last season to a 7-6 start this year. They are currently tied for the division lead in the AFC South with Houston, and will likely have to win the division to have a shot for the playoffs. Tennessee is built as a run first offense with Demarco Murray currently #2 in the NFL for rushing, and this doesn’t bode well for a KC team who ranks 27th in rush yards allowed/game. I expect this to be a close game as both teams fight for playoff positioning, so grabbing Tennessee at +11.5 should be more than enough to cover against a KC offense that often just does all it can to manage a game.

Game 2: Detroit vs. New York Giants

The Initial Line:

Detroit +5 away vs. New York Giants

The Take:

Add 6 points to Detroit’s line

The Final Line:

Detroit +11

The Breakdown:

Detroit keeps finding their magic, as they were able to hang on at home against Chicago 20-17. New York got a huge divisional win against Dallas, as they stopped their win streak in the home victory 10-7. Detroit has now won 8 of their last 9 games and shows no signs of slowing down. Matthew Stafford is making a case for NFL MVP as he continues to put up stellar numbers in the post Calvin Johnson era (top 10 in yards, passer rating, and total QBR). Eli Manning on the other hand has been struggling all season, and only ranks 26th in total QBR at 52.0. The other part of Detroit’s game that’s to their advantage is turnover differential. They currently sit at +4 in that column, vs -5 for the G men. I could see Detroit easily winning this game, but even if they lose it should stay close. Take them with the points here.

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