Teaser Pick 1: New England vs. Houston and New York (AFC) vs. Kansas City

Teaser Pick 1: New England vs. Houston and New York (AFC) vs. Kansas City

The Teaser: Pair New England and New York (AFC)

Game 1: New England vs. Houston

The Initial Line:

New England +2.5 home vs. Houston

The Take:

Add 8.5 points to New England’s line

The Final Line:

New England +11

The Breakdown:

New England was able to hold on this weekend, as they took down division rival Miami 31-24 at home. Houston was able to get revenge for last season’s playoff loss to Kansas City, as they won at home 19-12. Both of these teams are 2-0, but there are some question marks on both sides of the ball. New England looks like the team to beat in the AFC once again, but the big question mark for at least 2 weeks is what the QB situation is with Jimmy Garoppolo getting injured in the 2nd quarter Sunday. Jacoby Brissett would start if Jimmy can’t play (still a chance he fights through the pain and starts). Houston started 2-0, but both victories were at home and Brock Osweiler has been average (60.3 comp %, 3 TDs and 3 INTs). Houston also lost star linebacker Brian Cushing to injury, so there’s still a hole in the middle of the defense. Most people have panicked at NE’s QB situation and pushed this line in favor of Houston, but keep this in mind. New England has only been an underdog at home 3 times since 2006. In that span of time they’ve gone 70-11 (86.4% win %) at home in the regular season. If we’ve learned anything in that span of time, it’s to take NE as home underdogs with Bill Belichick coaching no matter who’s playing at QB, and especially if you can add extra points.

Game 2: New York (AFC) vs. Kansas City

The Initial Line:

New York (AFC) +3 away vs. Kansas City

The Take:

Add 8.5 points to New York’s line

The Final Line:

New York (AFC) +11.5

The Breakdown:

After 5 straight losses to their division rival, New York was able to come away with the Thursday Night Football victory on the road 37-31 over Buffalo. Kansas City wasn’t able to make the 4th quarter comeback like in week 1, as they fell short on the road 19-12 to Houston. New York was within 1 pt of sitting 2-0 right now, but a close loss to Cincinnati in week 1 leaves them at .500 so far. Kansas City has not impressed yet besides a 24-3 comeback against a mediocre San Diego team in week 1. Houston’s defense forced them into 3 turnovers, and expect more of the same from New York on Sunday. New York currently has the 4th most sacks and 6th most INTs on the season. They’ve also seemed to find a solid offensive weapon in Matt Forte, as he ranks second in the NFL in rushing yards. This is in Arrowhead which is notoriously tough for opposing teams, but expect this to be a tight game. Getting New York with an 11-point cushion should be more than plenty for their elite defense.

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