Teaser Pick 2: Dallas vs. Green Bay and Baltimore vs. New York (NFC)

Teaser Pick 2: Dallas vs. Green Bay and Baltimore vs. New York (NFC)

The Teaser: Pair Dallas and Baltimore

Game 1: Dallas vs. Green Bay

The Initial Line:

Dallas +4 away vs. Green Bay

The Take:

Add 7.5 points to Dallas’s line

The Final Line:

Dallas +11.5

The Breakdown:

Dallas was able to get the convincing home win on Sunday, as they defeated Cincinnati 28-14. Green Bay was able to hold on for the home victory as well on Sunday Night Football, as they took down New York 23-16. Dallas may be the most surprising team out of the gate, as they sit at 4-1 on the season behind stellar play from rookie QB Dak Prescott and rookie RB Ezekiel Elliott. Green Bay currently sits at 3-1, but their team hasn’t seemed necessarily dominant up to this point. They have yet to win a game by more than 7 points, and for their expected high-powered offense with Jordy Nelson back that doesn’t bode well. Meanwhile Ezekiel Elliott is leading the NFL in rushing and Dak Prescott ranks 8th in passer rating (Rodgers ranks 19th). It’s actually been the Green Bay defense that’s helped out so far, as their #1 ranked rush defense will be put to the test against #1 ranked Elliott and the Dallas O-line. This should be a close game against 2 elite teams in the NFC, and expect the final score to fall within one score with either team having a shot. Having said that, grabbing Dallas at +11.5 seems like a no-brainer here.

Game 2: Baltimore vs. New York (NFC)

The Initial Line:

Baltimore +3 away vs. New York (NFC)

The Take:

Add 7.5 points to Baltimore’s line

The Final Line:

Baltimore +10.5

The Breakdown:

Baltimore has now lost their 2nd game in a row, as they fell at home to Washington 16-10. New York had a shot at Green Bay but fell short, as they lost on Sunday Night Football 23-16 on the road. Both of these teams are on losing streaks and are looking to rebound. For Baltimore the issue has been generating offense behind Joe Flacco, as they only rank 18th in total yards. The defense has stood tall though and ranks 5th in yards allowed. For New York they’ve only been average on both sides of the ball, and haven’t found consistency yet this season. Another major area of concern for them is the turnovers as they currently have a -7 turnover differential, which puts them tied for 29th in the NFL. One thing you can usually expect with both these teams though is that the game will stay close. Removing a New York 24-10 loss at Minnesota, both of these teams have only played in games decided by 7 pts or less. That’s spells a recipe for getting one of these teams at more than 7 pts, and here we should take the chance to get Baltimore at +11.5 to ensure a smooth cover.

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