Teaser Pick 2: Oakland vs. New York Jets and Buffalo vs. Carolina

Teaser Pick 2: Oakland vs. New York Jets and Buffalo vs. Carolina

The Teaser: Pair Oakland and Buffalo

Game 1: Oakland vs. New York Jets

The Initial Line:

Oakland -15 home vs. New York Jets

The Take:

Add 8.5 points to Oakland’s line

The Final Line:

Oakland -6.5

The Breakdown:

Oakland was able to start the season off strong behind a healthy Derek Carr, as they went on the road to defeat Tennessee 26-16. New York pretty much matched everyone’s expectations heading into the 2017 season, losing their first game on the road to Buffalo 21-12. Carr was 22-32 for 262 yds and 2 TDs in his first regular season game since his leg injury in 2016, which was a great sign for them. New York got as much as reasonably expected from McCown and a depleted team, throwing for 187 yds and 2 INTs.

Many people ranked New York as the worst team in the NFL by far, and the Super Bowl odds on them was 1000-1 to start the year, the highest odds ever. The fact of the matter is New York sold off every relevant player that they had left, and knew their QB situation was going to be a work in progress. Oakland is a team that many predict could win the AFC West and possibly a lot more, as Derek Carr continues to grow into an excellent QB and Marshawn Lynch decided to come out of retirement to help out on the offensive side of the ball. He started his year with a strong showing, rushing 18 times for 76 yards. Khalil Mack is also one of the prime defenders in the league and should cause havoc in the backfield against New York. I’m always worried about huge lines covering like this one set at -15, but adding points to get this under a TD seems like a no brainer here.

Game 2: Buffalo vs. Carolina

The Initial Line:

Buffalo +8.5 away vs. Carolina

The Take:

Add 8.5 points to Buffalo’s line

The Final Line:

Buffalo +17

The Breakdown:

Buffalo was able to start the season off strong, as they got the home victory over divisional opponent New York 21-12. Carolina put forth a strong road showing to start the year, winning in San Francisco 23-3. Buffalo seemed to dump some of its main offensive and defensive weapons in the offseason in Sammy Watkins and Stephon Gilmore, but they still performed well with 2 TDs from Tyrod and 2 INTs by the defense. Rookie RB Christian McCaffrey made his presence know early in the year helping in the run and passing game, as he collected 47 rush yds and 5 cathes for 38 yds in the air.

You could make the argument that both of these performances were not as impressive as they might seem. You start with the two teams they defeated in New York and San Francisco, and both were predicted to be the worst in the NFL in 2017. Cam Newton was inconsistent in his first start since his shoulder issues, going only 14-25 (56% completion percentage) for 171 yds and also threw an INT. Both Buffalo and Carolina’s defenses showed some life, with 2 INT each respectively. Time will tell what each of these teams can bring to the table in terms of offense, but Lesean McCoy gained over 100 yds and combined Buffalo rushed for 190 yds in week 1. Cam is still working off some rust, but does get the home opener this week. I don’t see either team putting up huge offensive numbers in week 2, so taking Buffalo with extra points here seems like the play. Having a 2 TD and FG cushion should basically push Buffalo to a guaranteed pick win.

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