Teaser Pick 3: Atlanta vs. Green Bay and Seattle vs. San Francisco

Teaser Pick 3: Atlanta vs. Green Bay and Seattle vs. San Francisco

The Teaser: Pair Atlanta and Seattle

Game 1: Atlanta vs. Green Bay

The Initial Line:

Atlanta -2.5 home vs. Green Bay

The Take:

Add 7.5 points to Atlanta’s line

The Final Line:

Atlanta +5

The Breakdown:

Atlanta was working off their Super Bowl hangover but was still able to secure the road win over Chicago 23-17. Matt Ryan put up some big numbers building off his MVP performance from last year, going 21-30 for 321 yds and 1 TD. Green Bay started off slow but finished strong in their home opener, getting the victory over Seattle 17-9. Aaron Rodgers also turned up the gas especially in the 2nd half, as he ended with 311 yds, a TD, and an INT after being down 3-0 going into halftime.

Atlanta was lucky to pull out the win against Chicago, as they had to fend off a late comeback that could have sunk them. However, they still have so many weapons on both sides of the ball that it’s hard not to see them taking over soon enough. Atlanta was able to get 4 sacks in their opener and that trend should continue throughout the year with their defensive front. Mercedes-Benz Stadium will open in Atlanta this weekend and you can be sure the crowd will be fired up. Matt Ryan should be too, as his career stats show (67.5 comp % home vs 62.7 on the road, 98.9 passer rating at home vs 89.4 on the road). Green Bay held Seattle to less than 10 points, but that may be a bit deceiving as Seattle’s struggles on the road are well documented (less than 10 pts in 4 of last 10 road games). You can never count Rodgers and the Pack out, especially in this rematch of the NFC Championship game from last season. Take Atlanta with some extra insurance pts here, but I still think they have a great chance of winning outright.

Game 2: Seattle vs. San Francisco

The Initial Line:

Seattle -14 home vs. San Francisco

The Take:

Add 7.5 points to Seattle’s line

The Final Line:

Seattle -6.5

The Breakdown:

Seattle saw their offensive road struggles continue on opening weekend, falling to Green Bay 17-9. Russell Wilson only went 14-27 for 158 yds, but a lot of that was due to their weak offensive line. San Francisco didn’t get off to a great start with new head coach Kyle Shanahan, losing their home opener 23-3 to Carolina. They weren’t able to do much right in their opener, with Hoyer throwing under 200 yds with an INT and 2 total turnovers. They also lost starting rookie LB Reuben Foster to an ankle injury which only hurts their defense further.

Russell Wilson and Seattle have a known track record for performing better at home than on the road with the assistance of the 12th man. Since 2012, Wilson is 34-6 at home with a 104.2 passer rating. They also have the advantage of one of the strongest defenses in the NFL, and after having the 5th best defense in 2016 they upgraded with the recent addition of Sheldon Richardson from New York. The last 2 times San Francisco played in Seattle, they lost by 16 and 19 pts. There’s always a chance the division rivalry gets SF energized and they keep it close, but Seattle’s better on both sides of the ball and should win easily. Grabbing them to win by a TD should be an easy win.

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