NFL Teaser Pick – Week 3 – Jacksonville vs. Baltimore and New England vs. Houston

NFL Teaser Pick – Week 3 – Jacksonville vs. Baltimore and New England vs. Houston

The Teaser: Pair Jacksonville and New England

Game 1: Jacksonville vs. Baltimore

The Initial Line:

Jacksonville +3.5 home (London) vs. Baltimore

The Take:

Add 8 points to Jacksonville’s line

The Final Line:

Jacksonville +11.5

The Breakdown:

Jacksonville wasn’t as dominant in week 2 at home as they had been in week 1, falling to divisional opponent Tennessee 37-16. They fell victim to some offensive turnovers which changed the course of the game, with Bortles coughing up 2 INTs and a fumble lost. Baltimore moved to 2-0, as they were able to take their home opener against divisional rival Cleveland 24-10. Baltimore’s defense continued to drive the team forward, forcing 5 turnovers for the 2nd straight game with 4 INTs and 1 fumble recovery.

Baltimore did have some misfortune in their game, as they lost starting OG Yanda to a season-ending ankle injury and DT Williams to a foot injury. We saw how Jacksonville’s defense can have their way with a poor offensive line as shown by their 10 sacks in week 1, and this may spell trouble for Flacco. Jacksonville’s defense is arguably just as elite as Baltimore’s, so this game will likely come down to whose offense can produce more. I expect this to be a fairly low scoring game because neither Flacco nor Bortles have shown that they can create much of a passing offense this season, and Fournette provides Jacksonville with the edge in the rushing game. No team truly has home-field advantage in London (on paper Jacksonville is at home), but no matter who wins I don’t see any blowouts coming. Taking Jacksonville with some extra insurance points seems like the play here.

Game 2: New England vs. Houston

The Initial Line:

New England -14.5 home vs. Houston

The Take:

Add 8 points to New England’s line

The Final Line:

New England -6.5

The Breakdown:

After a shocking week 1 loss at home on banner night, New England’s offense responded on the road with a 36-20 win over New Orleans. Tom Brady had 3 TDs in the 1st quarter and was able to 447 passing yards in the victory. Deshaun Watson was able to get the victory in his first career start at QB, as Houston took down Cincinnati 13-9. Watson used both the passing and rushing game, with 125 pass yds and 67 rush yds and a rush TD to give Houston the edge over a weak Cincinnati squad.

After a much needed offensive display, New England gets to head home against a banged up Houston team. Houston may be without two of their CBs as Johnson and Joseph both went down last week. They are also still without Brian Cushing at LB, and this may spell trouble against a high-octane offense like New England. There’s also the concern of starting a rookie in New England, as Belichick is 8-0 against rookie QBs at home. Houston’s offensive line has been a major issue all season, and this may finally give NE’s D-line a chance to shine, which has been a main weak point to start the year. With a 2+ TD point spread this may be the biggest lock of the week in terms of straight victory for New England, but getting extra points to have a final line under a touchdown seems like common sense for a win. Blake Bortles and Andy Dalton combined for 1 TD in 2 games against Houston, while Brady had 3 TDs in one quarter last week. Good luck slowing down the NE train at home.

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