Take Detroit +4.5 away vs. New Orleans
Detroit couldn’t finish off their 4th quarter comeback this time, eventually falling at home to Carolina 27-24. Matthew Stafford continued his 4th quarter success with a lot of his 229 yds and 2 TDs coming late. New Orleans got to enjoy a bye week after a 2-2 start to the season. Drew Brees is on a roll to start the season, as he currently ranks 3rd in passer rating behind only Alex Smith and Tom Brady, proving that he can still play at an elite level at age 38.
Detroit’s defense has been a pleasant surprise to start the season, as they currently rank in the top 10 in points allowed per game. They’ve also played a huge role in Detroit’s turnover differential success, ranking 3rd in the NFL in that category and accumulating 11 takeaways in 5 games. Being able to get pressure from their D-line will be crucial against Brees, but they rank in the top 10 in sacks which shows they’ve achieved that goal to this point and will be exploit the hole left at RT without Zach Strief. Matthew Stafford should have a chance at success against this New Orleans defense as well, as they are ranked 2nd worse by FPI and Stafford has a 9/1 TD/INT ratio. This game should remain close given the potency of both offenses, but Detroit’s defense has the edge which will lead to either a road victory or a late loss on a FG. Detroit’s also 2-0 ATS on the road so far, which shows they step up to the challenge away from Ford Field.