The Teaser: Pair San Francisco and Denver
Game 1: San Francisco vs. Washington
The Initial Line:
San Francisco +9.5 away vs. Washington
Add 8.5 points to San Francisco’s line
The Final Line:
San Francisco +18
San Francisco lost yet again another heartbreaker, dropping their 2nd straight OT road game 26-23 to Indianapolis. Brian Hoyer has continued to be a pleasant surprise for San Francisco, throwing for 353 yds and 2 TDs including a game tying TD with 0:20 left in regulation. Washington got to enjoy a bye week after sporting a 2-2 record to start the year. Kirk Cousins has had a fantastic start in 2017, currently sitting 4th in passer rating in the NFL at 107.6.
At some point San Francisco has to secure a victory, right? They currently sit at 0-5 but have lost their last 4 games by a combined 11 points, with the last 2 losses occurring on the road in OT. Although their defense hasn’t been great thus far ranking 22nd in points allowed (24.0 PPG), Washington is not far ahead of them tied for 18th with 22.3 PPG allowed. They also both rank in the middle of the pack for turnover differential, tied with each other for 13th. Washington is also trying to combat a host of injuries at the moment, with RB Kelley likely out leaving the rookie RB Perine in and LT Williams and CB Norman being considered longshots to play. However, San Francisco may be getting 1st round LB Reuben Foster back from an ankle this week which would be a huge boost for their defense. This is also Pierre Garcon’s return to Washington, so he’ll be sure to get some looks and possibly have a big game. I still think it would be tough for SF to get the road victory here, but they should be able to hang around with Washington as they have the past few weeks and keep it interesting. Grabbing them with a 2 TD and FG cushion seems like a lock though.
Game 2: Denver vs. New York Giants
The Initial Line:
Denver -12 home vs. New York Giants
Add 8.5 points to Denver’s line
The Final Line:
Denver got some rest in during their week 5 bye, after a strong 3-1 start to the 2017 season. Once again Denver’s biggest strength has been their defense, as they lead the NFL in yards allowed/game at 260.8. The New York Giants continue to find ways to disappoint, as they lost at home to the Los Angeles Chargers 27-22 to move to 0-5 on the season. New York had to endure a painful Sunday after watching some of their star players be removed due to injury, including both Odell Beckham Jr and Brandon Marshall.
Denver’s defense has yet to allow over 21 points this season, and should be able to contain a New York squad who will be searching for new talent this weekend. The loss of Beckham Jr and Marshall will be hard to overcome, especially given the state of their rushing attack. The currently have the 3rd worst rushing attack in the NFL averaging only 77.8 yards/game. They are also facing the possibility that they may be without their 4 top WRs, and if that’s the case only undrafted 2nd year player Roger Moore could be the only healthy receiver. The formula of a depleted offensive New York squad and an elite level defense in Denver does not bode well for the visiting team. You’d hope that New York could rely on their own defense which was so good last season, but currently they rank 28th in total yards allowed. This combination is pointing us towards a big Denver victory on Sunday Night Football, but Denver’s offense is sometimes miniscule as well so may want to grab some insurance points as covering 12 may be too much to ask. A teaser that gets them down under 4 should more than plenty though, as they’ll move to 4-1 by week’s end.