Pick 4: Oakland vs. New York (AFC) and Kansas City vs. Tennessee

Pick 4: Oakland vs. New York (AFC) and Kansas City vs. Tennessee

The Teaser: Pair Oakland and Kansas City

Game 1: Oakland vs. New York (AFC)

The Initial Line:

Oakland +5 away vs. New York (AFC)

The Take:

Add 8 points to Oakland’s line

The Final Line:

Oakland +13

The Breakdown:

Oakland had another disappointing season, finishing at 4-12. They did have to face some tough competition in the AFC West, with Denver and Kansas City both finishing with at least 11 wins. New York found themselves looking at the playoffs from the outside as well, finishing with an 8-8 record. Geno Smith followed the path of many late New York quarterbacks in that he struggled to create a threatening offensive attack. They hope to rely on him to bounce back this year, but picked up Michael Vick in the offseason for what seems like an effective backup option if/when Smith fails.

This is a matchup of teams who both seem to have struggles ahead of them. New York seems to have an edge over Oakland, as they were 6th in rushing yards for and 3rd in rushing yards against in 2013. However Oakland has added rookie Derek Carr at QB, who looked promising in the preseason. His performance in the final preseason game clinched the QB spot in Oakland, going 11-13 for 143 yds and 3 TD passes against Seattle. Oakland can only go up from here, and given that New York doesn’t have a powerful offensive attack they should be safe with 13 points. Take Oakland at +13 here.

Game 2: Kansas City vs. Tennessee

The Initial Line:

Kansas City -4.5 home vs. Tennessee

The Take:

Add 8 points to Kansas City’s line

The Final Line:

Kansas City +3.5

The Breakdown:

Kansas City was a great comeback story in 2013, going 11-5 after finishing 2-14 in 2012. However, their magical season was cut short by a stunning 28 pt. comeback by Indianapolis in the Divisional Round, losing 45-44. Tennessee had another mediocre season in 2013, going 7-9 and missing the playoffs for the 5th straight year. The one positive in Tennessee was a breakout season from Kendall Wright, who eclipsed the 1,000 yd. receiving mark in his 2nd full season.

Kansas City is expected to make another playoff run this season. They just signed Alex Smith to a 4yr/$68 million dollar contract which gives them confidence at the QB position, not to mention that the beast Jamaal Charles is still ready to improve on his exceptional season last year. Tennessee looks for a spark in Jake Locker, but to think he will have an outstanding opening game in an atmosphere like Arrowhead Stadium is a long shot. Look for Kansas City to get a season opening victory against Tennessee, and take KC at +3.5 for extra insurance in case it came down to the wire and they lose in the last few seconds on a field goal.

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