Pick 2: New Orleans vs. San Francisco and Denver vs. Oakland

Pick 2: New Orleans vs. San Francisco and Denver vs. Oakland

The Teaser: Pair New Orleans and Denver

Game 1: New Orleans vs. San Francisco

The Initial Line:

New Orleans -4.5 home vs. San Francisco

The Take:

Add 8 points to New Orleans’ line

The Final Line:

New Orleans +3.5

The Breakdown:

New Orleans ended a 7 game road losing streak on Thursday Night, defeating Carolina 28-10. There was no score until under 3 minutes left in the first half, but once New Orleans got into their rhythm they were hard to stop. Drew Brees threw for 297 yards and a passing and rushing TD, while Mark Ingram rushed for 100 yards and 2 TDs on the ground. San Francisco lost a heartbreaker on Sunday, losing at home to St. Louis 13-10. Colin Kaepernick tried to punch it into the endzone with 2 seconds left only to fumble to St. Louis to end the game. Besides the fumble Kaepernick had a decent game, throwing for 237 yards and a TD. Anquan Boldin also had a big day with 6 receptions, 93 receiving yards, and a TD.

New Orleans heads back home with a new sense of confidence. After proving they can win on the road and on a 2 game win streak, they always look forward to a game on their home turf. They have now won 11 straight at home, and will be looking to keep their record perfect there this season with a win over SF. It will be an interesting matchup, as NO’s 3rd ranked pass off. and 7th ranked rush off. goes up against SF’s 3rd ranked opp pass def. and 5th ranked opp rush defense. Expect a good game against elite teams, but NO should come out victorious in this one. Worst case they fight to the end and lose on a last-minute FG, and in that case we’d be covered at +3.5.

Game 2: Denver vs. Oakland

The Initial Line:

Denver -12.5 away vs. Oakland

The Take:

Add 8 points to Denver’s line

The Final Line:

Denver -4.5

The Breakdown:

Denver had its first big defeat of the season, losing in New England 43-21. Peyton lost the battle of HOF QB’s to Brady, after throwing 2 costly INTs even though he had 438 pass yards overall; however, he also set another record with 14 straight games of 2 or more TD passes. Oakland put up a good fight on Sunday in a hostile Seattle environment, but ended up losing 30-24 to the defending Super Bowl champs. They are still winless, and a large part of that is attributed to their lack of offense and turnovers. Oakland ended up turning the ball over 3 times in this contest and only gained 226 yards of total offense.

Peyton Manning and Denver are not the type of team to lose 2 games in a row. In fact Peyton hasn’t lost 2 games in a row since September of 2012 after a full year off. We also know that Denver will put up points, and this will be an issue for Oakland to match. In 2014, Denver has scored 20 or more points in every game and scored less than 30 points in only 3 games. Oakland has only scored 20 or more points twice, and has not had a game with 30 or more points. Oakland hasn’t been laying down lately as they continue to seek their first win, but Denver is just too powerful a team to slow down. Don’t be surprised if Denver wins this one comfortably, but I don’t see any scenario where they don’t win by at least a TD.

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