Pick 3: Baltimore vs. Tennessee and Arizona vs. St. Louis

Pick 3: Baltimore vs. Tennessee and Arizona vs. St. Louis

The Teaser: Pair Baltimore and Arizona

Game 1: Baltimore vs. Tennessee

The Initial Line:

Baltimore -10 home vs. Tennessee

The Take:

Add 7.5 points to Baltimore’s line

The Final Line:

Baltimore -2.5

The Breakdown:

Baltimore suffered a road defeat on Sunday Night Football, losing to red-hot Pittsburgh 43-23. It’s hard to compete with a QB as in the zone as Ben Roethlisberger, who has now thrown 12 TDs in his last 2 games (an NFL record)! Joe Flacco did have a good game, throwing for 303 yards and 2 TDs. Tennessee had a bye week in week 9 after losing their previous 2 games. They have seemed to struggle all season, with their only wins coming week 1 at KC and week 6 barely beating Jacksonville. They have had to adjust to a rotating QB situation, using both Jake Locker and Charlie Whitehurst this year, but neither having a ton of success.

Baltimore will be excited to get back home to play Tennessee on Sunday. They currently sit last in the AFC North, but still are playing well with a 5-4 record. Joe Flacco enjoys playing in his home city, as his team is 42-10 (81% win %) since his break into the league in 2008. Baltimore will look to provide a more balanced offense this week, as Tennessee ranks 28th in opp rush yards against. Expect Baltimore to have a bounce back at home this week, as Tennessee doesn’t look like they have anything to look forward to in the near future. Baltimore will cover easily at under a FG.

Game 2: Arizona vs. St. Louis

The Initial Line:

Arizona -7 home vs. St. Louis

The Take:

Add 7.5 points to Arizona’s line

The Final Line:

Arizona +0.5

The Breakdown:

Arizona now holds the NFL’s best record at 7-1 after winning on the road to defeat Dallas 28-17. Carson Palmer had a impressive game, throwing for 249 yards and 3 TDs. Andre Ellington was able to add 95 yards on the ground, and the defense forced 2 INTs off Branden Weeden, who filled in for the injured Tony Romo. St. Louis was able to pull off a dramatic win against divisional foe San Francisco, winning 13-10. They forced a fumble off of Colin Kaepernick within the last seconds to seal the victory. It wasn’t their best game as they only mustered 193 total yards on offense, but it was enough for the victory to move them to 3-5. Austin Davis threw for 105 yards, 1 TD, and 2 INTs.

Arizona now heads home to try and maintain the top record in the NFL. They should have good success at home, as they are 10-2 in their last 12 and are undefeated at U. of Phoenix Stadium this season. Arizona is on a 4 game win streak, and a lot of that can be contributed to the re-immergence of Larry Fitzgerald. After gaining only 164 receiving yards and no TDs in the first 4 games, he has gained 349 yards and 2 TDs in the last 4. The team also sits 2nd in the NFL in turnover differential at +10. Expect another strong performance from them at home this week, as St. Louis does not have enough weapons to keep up with this underrated Arizona team.

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