Pick 3: Denver vs. St. Louis and San Diego vs. Oakland

Pick 3: Denver vs. St. Louis and San Diego vs. Oakland

The Teaser: Pair Denver and San Diego

Game 1: Denver vs. St. Louis

The Initial Line:

Denver -10 away vs. St. Louis

The Take:

Add 7.5 points to Denver’s line

The Final Line:

Denver -2.5

The Breakdown:

Denver had another blowout victory on Sunday, going on the road to defeat Oakland 41-17. Peyton Manning continues to amaze, as he threw for 340 yds and 5 TDs (NFL record, 9 games with 5+ TD passes). CJ Anderson had a nice game on the ground as well, contributing 6.9 yds/rush and 90 yds total. Demaryius Thomas had another 100 yds receiving game as well to put him over 1,000 yds for the season. St. Louis fell apart in Arizona last weekend, losing 31-14. After holding a 14-10 lead, they gave up the go-ahead score and then Austin Davis began to collapse. He threw an INT for a TD and fumbled for a defensive TD as he had 3 turnovers in the 4th quarter.

After suffering a tough defeat in NE, Denver bounced back nicely against Oakland. They should have a similar fate in week 11, as they have scored 30+ pts in 6 of their 9 games compared to St. Louis who has only scored 30+ once this season. The 13th ranked STL defense probably won’t be strong enough to slow down Peyton, who seems to break a passing record every weekend now. Austin Smith seems to be headed in the opposite direction, as he now has 3 TDs to 5 INTs in the last 3 games. Denver is the better team, and barring some injury to Manning they will roll over St. Louis on Sunday. Getting them at -2.5 is just a precaution in case the game is somehow close.

Game 2: San Diego vs. Oakland

The Initial Line:

San Diego -10 home vs. Oakland

The Take:

Add 7.5 points to San Diego’s line

The Final Line:

San Diego -2.5

The Breakdown:

San Diego had a much needed bye week last weekend, as they had lost 3 straight games. The team was rolling right along at 5-1 until this latest skid, but to their credit they faced 3 quality teams (KC, Denver, Miami). A lot of these struggles fall on Philip Rivers, who threw 15 TDs and 2 INTs the first 6 games but threw 5 TDs and 6 INTs the last 3. Oakland continues to struggle, as they were defeated once again by Denver at home 41-17. They only gained 10 first downs and 222 total yds in the game. Derek Carr had a solid completion % (63.8) but threw 2 INTs with his 2 TDs. The ground game was only able to contribute 30 yds as well.

Oakland is still seeking it’s first win of the season but will have a tough time accomplishing that in San Diego. SD has scored an average of 28.5 PPG at home compared to 12.7 PPG on the road. Oakland has only scored 20 pts twice this season, and this will be a tough environment to do that in. Philip Rivers also enjoys his home stadium this year: he has 11 TDs and 2 INTs in 4 home games vs 9 TDs and 6 INTs on the road. San Diego knows they need to win these types of games against weak opponents to stay in the hunt for a playoff spot, as 4 straight losses would sink them. Expect a big bounce back week from San Diego, and take them to win by a FG or more at home.

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