Pick 2: Cleveland vs. Atlanta and Philadelphia vs. Tennessee

Pick 2: Cleveland vs. Atlanta and Philadelphia vs. Tennessee

The Teaser: Pair Cleveland and Philadelphia

Game 1: Cleveland vs. Atlanta

The Initial Line:

Cleveland +3 away vs. Atlanta

The Take:

Add 8.5 points to Cleveland’s line

The Final Line:

Cleveland +11.5

The Breakdown:

Cleveland was outplayed at home this weekend, losing to Houston 23-7. JJ Watt seems to get better every week – he had a forced fumble, 5 tackles, a sack, and a TD catch on offense. Brian Hoyer actually had a decent game, throwing for 330 yds, a TD, and an INT. Atlanta has now won 2 in a row after losing 5 straight, beating Carolina 19-17. Matt Ryan had a quality game, throwing for 268 yds and a TD. The defense was also able to force Cam Newton into 2 INTs, and special teams blocked a 63 yd FG attempt as time expired to seal the win.

The standings almost seem backwards, as 6-4 Cleveland sits in last in their division while 4-6 Atlanta sit atop the weak NFC South. Cleveland edges out Atlanta in the turnover differential category 8 to 3, which bodes well for them on the road. Each team will be ready to play, as the both are still within 1 game of being in or out of 1st place in their respective divisions. Atlanta’s 6th ranked pass offense should have a good battle with the 11th ranked Cleveland defense. However Atlanta’s defense has been pretty horrific, as they rank last in pass yds allowed in the NFL which gives Brian Hoyer the opportunity for a bounce back week. Expect this one to be close, but I don’t see either team winning by more than a TD. Take Cleveland at +11.5.

Game 2: Philadelphia vs. Tennessee

The Initial Line:

Philadelphia -11 home vs. Tennessee

The Take:

Add 8.5 points to Philadelphia’s line

The Final Line:

Philadelphia -2.5

The Breakdown:

Philadelphia suffered their worst loss of the season Sunday, losing in Green Bay 53-20. It’s hard to compete with Aaron Rodgers these days, but Mark Sanchez did throw for 346 yds and 2 TDs. However, he also threw 2 INTs, one of which was returned for a TD by Julius Peppers. Philadelphia had 4 turnovers in all, and the defense gave up 475 total yards in a hostile Lambeau Field. Tennessee lost a tight game on Monday Night Football against Pittsburgh, falling 27-24. Tennessee held a 24-13 lead heading into the 4th quarter, but was unable to hang on as Pittsburgh scored 2 TDs in under 6 minutes. Zach Mettenberger threw for 263 yds and 2 TD, but the defense couldn’t stop Le’Veon Bell who gained 204 yds on the ground.

Philadelphia will be excited to head home this weekend, as they are 5-0 at home compared to 2-3 on the road. It doesn’t really matter where Tennessee plays this year, as they are 2-8 in 2014 and don’t show many signs of rebounding. Lesean McCoy and Darren Sproles should have some opportunities on the ground, as Tennessee ranks 31st in rush yds allowed/game. Also Philadelphia has scored the 4th most points in the league, while Tennesse has scored the 3rd least (only Oakland and Jacksonville are worse). Philly will return to form this weekend and win at home, and don’t be surprised if this one is over early.

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