Pick 3: Green Bay vs. Minnesota and Cincinnati vs. Houston

Pick 3: Green Bay vs. Minnesota and Cincinnati vs. Houston

The Teaser: Pair Green Bay and Cincinnati

Game 1: Green Bay vs. Minnesota

The Initial Line:

Green Bay -11 away vs. Minnesota

The Take:

Add 8.5 points to Green Bay’s line

The Final Line:

Green Bay -2.5

The Breakdown:

Green Bay is seemingly unstoppable lately, rolling over Philadelphia for a dominant 53-20 home win. Aaron Rodgers continues to be the bright spot, as he threw for 341 yds and 3 TDs. Eddie Lacy also added 69 rush yds and a TD to the offensive attack. Let’s also give some credit to the defense, who forced Philadelphia into 4 turnovers (2 were returned for TDs). Minnesota suffered a road loss in Soldier Field, losing 21-13 to Chicago. They weren’t able to muster much offense, as they were held to 243 yds by a defense that was torched the week before by Green Bay. Minnesota’s defense was able to force 2 INTs to keep it close, but it wasn’t enough as they moved to 2-4 on the road this season.

Green Bay has won 2 in a row and looks to keep it going this weekend in Minnesota. They haven’t lost to Minnesota since December of 2012, when they were defeated 37-34. Aaron Rodgers is giving DeMarco Murray a run for his money at the MVP award this season, as his season stat are pretty incredible: 28 TDs, 3 INTs, 120.1 Passer Rating. Minnesota’s pass defense does rank 8th in the league, but they will not be able to slow down Rodgers. Also Green Bay has the best turnover differential in the league (+14), compared to Minnesota’s +1. Since this is a divisional game I don’t think it was be as large a blowout for GB as the past couple weeks have been, but they should still win this one with ease.

Game 2: Cincinnati vs. Houston

The Initial Line:

Cincinnati +2 away vs. Houston

The Take:

Add 8.5 points to Cincinnati’s line

The Final Line:

Cincinnati +10.5

The Breakdown:

Cincinnati was able to win in a tough Superdome environment, defeating New Orleans 27-10. AJ Green had his best game since returning from injury, catching 6 passes for 127 yds and a TD. Andy Dalton had a strong game overall, throwing for 220 yds and 3 TDs. The defense also held a potent New Orleans offense to 330 yds, which is a rewarding accomplishment when they play at home. Houston was able to get a convincing win on the road, defeating Cleveland 23-7. Ryan Mallett got a victory in his first career start, throwing for 211 yds, 2 TD, and 1 INT. JJ Watt also went off on defense and offense, as he had a sack, fumble recovery, and a TD catch.

Cincinnati finds themselves once again atop the AFC North, despite leading the last place team by less than a game. Houston sits a game behind Indianapolis in the AFC South, so there’s a lot for both teams to play for on Sunday. AJ Green is starting to make his presence felt in the offense. Cincinnati is 5-2 this season when he started, and 1-1-1 when he was injured. He has proven to be a huge catalyst to Andy Dalton’s offense, as they are very strong when him and Sanu play at the same time. Houston has a tough defense, but Andy Dalton needs to outduel Ryan Mallett and show why he deserves his massive contract of around $20 million/yr. Take Cincinnati with points as this one will be close either way.

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