Pick 3: Indianapolis vs. Washington and Houston vs. Tennesee

Pick 3: Indianapolis vs. Washington and Houston vs. Tennesee

The Teaser: Pair Indianapolis and Houston

Game 1: Indianapolis vs. Washington

The Initial Line:

Indianapolis -10 home vs. Washington

The Take:

Add 7.5 points to Indianapolis’ line

The Final Line:

Indianapolis’ -2.5

The Breakdown:

Indianapolis got back to their winning ways at home on Sunday, defeating Jacksonville 23-3. Despite losing 3 fumbles, they were able to recover and win big. Luck went 21-32 for 253 yds and a TD and TY Hilton had another huge game with 122 yds receiving and a TD. The defense also controlled Jacksonville well, holding their offense to 197 total yards and forced 2 turnovers. Washington lost a close one in Santa Clara, losing to San Francisco, 17-13. They held the lead late, until a 75 yd drive capped with a TD sealed the victory for their opponent. RGIII was only 11-19 for 106 yds in a game where his job may have been on the line. The Washington defense did a good job of containing SF, as they forced 3 turnovers and had 2 sacks.

Indianapolis currently sits atop the AFC South with a 7-4 record, and is 4-2 at home. They accomplish this by scoring a lot of points, as they have scored at least 20 points in every game this season. Washington has only accomplished that feat 5 times this year. Also Indianapolis is tough to beat at home, as their only home losses came to 2 of the elite teams in the NFL (Philadelphia, New England). Expect Indianapolis to continue its quest towards the postseason as they will get the W this weekend easily, so take them at -2.5 to ensure only a FG is needed for a victory.

Game 2: Houston vs. Tennessee

The Initial Line:

Houston -6 home vs. Tennessee

The Take:

Add 7.5 points to Houston’s line

The Final Line:

Houston +1.5

The Breakdown:

Houston lost at home to a streaking Cincinnati team, falling 22-13. Ryan Mallett struggled in this one, going 21-45 for 189 yds and 1 INT. The rushing game also struggled without Arian Foster, as Blue and Grimes combined for 62 yds on the ground. Their defense was a bright spot once again, as Johnathan Joseph returned an INT 60 yds for a TD. Tennessee was handed their 5th straight loss on Sunday, losing on the road to Philadelphia 43-24. Zach Mettenberger had a decent game, throwing for 345 yds, 2 TDs and an INT. However, the running game only contributed 52 yds and the offense had 3 turnovers in all. The defense also gave up 462 total yards.

Houston sits at 5-6, but is only 2 games out of the division lead behind Indy. It seems more likely that if they want a shot at the playoffs they’ll need a divisional crown in a stacked AFC conference. They will need Ryan Fitzpatrick to step back in at QB as Ryan Mallett is out for the year (pectoral muscle). He should find success against a Tennessee defense that ranks 28th in yds allowed. Also the addition of Arian Foster would be big (might play), but any running game should have success against Tennessee who ranks dead last in rush yds against. At this point we know JJ Watt and Houston’s D will step up, as they rank first in takeaways on the year at 24. Take Houston in this one, as they will want it more and get a victory.

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