Pick 2: Indianapolis vs. Cleveland and Philadelphia vs. Seattle

Pick 2: Indianapolis vs. Cleveland and Philadelphia vs. Seattle

The Teaser: Pair Indianapolis and Philadelphia

Game 1: Indianapolis vs. Cleveland

The Initial Line:

Indianapolis -5 away vs. Cleveland

The Take:

Add 8.5 points to Indianapolis’ line

The Final Line:

Indianapolis +3.5

The Breakdown:

Indianapolis routed Washington at home in week 13, winning 49-27. Andrew Luck had another huge game, throwing for 370 yds with 5 TDs and 1 INT. They added 126 yds on the ground for a team total of 487 yds in the game. Cleveland lost a tough game on the road in Buffalo 26-10. After Brian Hoyer was ineffective with 2 INTs, Johnny Manziel got into the game and went 5-8 for 63 yds in his debut. They only gained 74 yds on the ground, while the offense turned the ball over a total of 3 times. The defense was effective holding Buffalo’s O to 287 total yds and they forced 2 turnovers, but the offense couldn’t return the favor.

Indianapolis has now won 2 in a row and has a 2 game lead in the AFC South division. Andrew Luck continues to shine this year, as he has thrown for over 300 yds in 10 of 12 games this year. Cleveland currently has questions at QB, as Brian Hoyer was benched during the last game for Johnny Manziel. Luck has also found success at both home and on the road; his TD-INT splits are 18-6 at home and 16-5 on the road. Cleveland will have a tough test slowing down an Indianapolis offense that ranks 1st in the NFL in total yards. Cleveland will keep it close, but Indianapolis has too many weapons and will get the win on Sunday. Take Indy with an added FG insurance at +3.5.

Game 2: Philadelphia vs. Seattle

The Initial Line:

Philadelphia -1 home vs. Seattle

The Take:

Add 8.5 points to Philadelphia’s line

The Final Line:

Philadelphia +7.5

The Breakdown:

Philadelphia made a statement on Thanksgiving, defeating Dallas on the road 33-10. Philly showed off a balanced offense, with Mark Sanchez throwing for 217 yds and 1 TD while LeSean McCoy added 159 rush yds and a TD. It may have been the defense that was more impressive, as they forced 3 turnovers and held a potent Dallas team to under 300 total yds. Seattle also had a satisfying turkey day, defeating division rival San Francisco on the road 19-3. The defense was spectacular, holding the SF offense to only 164 total yds in the game. Russell Wilson had a quality game, throwing for 236 yds and a TD. Marshawn Lynch also had a solid outing with over 100 yds rushing.

Two of the best teams in the NFC will square off Sunday, as Philly hosts Seattle. So far this season Philly is undefeated at home, has scored an avg. of 36.7 PPG there, and has only had 1 game where they scored under 30 pts (27 week 6 vs NYG). Seattle has only scored 30 pts 3 times this season, and the most they’ve scored on the road is 26 points. However Seattle does have the best defense in the NFL, so it will be interesting to see who wins the battle as Philly ranks 4th in offense in the league. Expect this one to be close, but I give the slight edge to Philadelphia with the home field advantage. This will be a fight to the end, but even if Seattle pulls out the victory they won’t run away with it. Feel safe taking Philly at +7.5.

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