Pick 3: New England vs. Miami and Detroit vs. Minnesota

Pick 3: New England vs. Miami and Detroit vs. Minnesota

The Teaser: Pair New England and Detroit

Game 1: New England vs. Miami

The Initial Line:

New England -9 home vs. Miami

The Take:

Add 6.5 points to New England’s line

The Final Line:

New England -2.5

The Breakdown:

New England got a nice road win in San Diego, with a final of 24-13. It was a tight game at 14-13 SD going into the 4th, but a late 69 yd TD pass to Julian Edelman sealed the victory. Edelman had 141 receiving yards in total, and Brady ended up passing for 317 yds with 2 TDs and an INT. This is now the 12th straight 10 win season for NE, which is the 2nd longest streak in NFL history. Miami did not enjoy coming home, as they fell to Baltimore 28-13. Miami jumped out to an early 10-0 lead in the 1st, but Baltimore’s D stepped up and the offense slowly chipped away with at least 1 TD in the next 3 quarters. Ryan Tannehill was 23-33 for 227 yds and a TD in the game.

Miami got the best of New England in week 1, as they defeated them 33-20 in front of the home crowd. Now New England gets a shot at revenge and should feel pretty good about their odds – they have won their last 15 games at home since December of 2012. Miami will also have to try and combat the 3rd highest scoring offense in the NFL as NE has scored over 400 pts on the season in 13 games (30.8 PPG). The numbers are even better in Gillette Stadium, as they average 35.7 PPG there this season. Miami will be battling hard because their season is on the line, but New England is the better team and is just deadly at home. Take them at -2.5 to ensure that only a FG is needed to win it.

Game 2: Detroit vs. Minnesota

The Initial Line:

Detroit -9 home vs. Minnesota

The Take:

Add 6.5 points to Detroit’s line

The Final Line:

Detroit -2.5

The Breakdown:

Detroit kept their offense rolling, as they got another home victory by a score of 34-17 over Tampa Bay. After 2 straight weeks without a TD, they have scored at least 4 TDs in 2 straight games. A large portion of this is due to the excellent play of Matthew Stafford, who threw for 311 yds and 3 TDs. Joique Bell also turned in a solid game with 83 rushing yds and a TD, but Calvin Johnson once again stole the show with 158 receiving yds and a TD. Minnesota was able to hold on against New York, winning at home in OT 30-24. A late NY FG forced the OT, but that ended quickly as Teddy Bridgewater connected with Jarius Wright on a screen pass for 87 yds and the win. Bridgewater had 309 yds in all with 2 TD and 1 INT.

Detroit has seemed to find their groove again, and the timing couldn’t be better as they sit in the 6th position for a playoff spot with Dallas right on their heels. They have been given a good stretch of 3 straight home games against mediocre teams (Chicago, Tampa Bay, Minnesota), so they know they need to capitalize. It also doesn’t hurt that they have the 2nd best defense in the NFL and an offense that is starting to click behind Stafford and Megatron. Minnesota just can’t match up on offense and defense, and Detroit can’t afford to lose anymore. Expect a decisive home victory here.

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