Pick 1: San Diego vs. San Francisco and Atlanta vs. New Orleans

Pick 1: San Diego vs. San Francisco and Atlanta vs. New Orleans

The Teaser: Pair San Diego and Atlanta

Game 1: San Diego vs. San Francisco

The Initial Line:

San Diego +2 away vs. San Francisco

The Take:

Add 8.5 points to San Diego’s line

The Final Line:

San Diego +10.5

The Breakdown:

San Diego fell at home on Sunday to their division rival Denver, losing 22-10. Philip Rivers threw 2 key INT in the game, which can’t happen against a team like Denver. They gained under 300 yds total offense and only had 56 rushing yds in the game. San Francisco also lost to division rival Seattle, as they faltered on the road 17-7. They were held to only 245 yds of total offense and were knocked out of playoff contention. Colin Kaepernick deserves part of the blame, as he only went 11-19 for 141 yds. The defense was doing their job as they held Seattle to 3 pts in the 1st half, but they let up 2 second half TDs to seal the game.

San Diego is still in the hunt for a wildcard playoff spot in the AFC, while San Francisco will be viewing the postseason from the outside. SF sits at 3-3 at home, but they actually have been outscored by 13 total points and their largest win was by 5 pts. San Diego is 3-3 on the road, but their 3 road losses came against teams with a combined 17-3 home record (Arizona, Denver, Miami). SF’s defense is one of the best in the league, but San Diego needs to win the rest of their games and will come out firing in this one. Expect this to be a tight game, and if SD doesn’t win I don’t see them losing by more than a FG. Just grab +10.5 for an extra TD insurance.

Game 2: Atlanta vs. New Orleans

The Initial Line:

Atlanta +6 away vs. New Orleans

The Take:

Add 8.5 points to Atlanta’s line

The Final Line:

Atlanta +14.5

The Breakdown:

Atlanta fell at home to Pittsburgh on Sunday, losing 27-20. Matt Ryan actually played a good game, going 26-37 for 310 yds, 2 TDs and 1 INT. However the defense didn’t do much to slow down the PIT offense and gave up 398 total yds and 20 pts in the first half, which had them playing catch-up. New Orleans got a much needed win on Monday Night against Chicago, going into the Windy City and winning 31-15. Drew Brees had the most yds of any QB in week 15, throwing for 375 yds and 3 TDs. Mark Ingram also got a rush TD, while the defense was able to force 3 INTs against the mistake-prone Jay Cutler.

Both of these teams have been swapping 1st place lately in the abysmal NFC South, but its New Orleans who sees themselves seated in 1st place. This game will have huge implications on the division. If Atlanta loses, they will be out of playoff contention and NO will be in great position to sneak in. If NO loses, they will have equal records but Atlanta will lead with the tiebreaker and Carolina will still have a chance to take it. Expect a great battle from both teams as their seasons are on the line. New Orleans historically is very good at home, but has lost their last 4 games there. I think either team could take this one, so having Atlanta as 6 pt underdogs gives them huge value. Get them with a 2 TD cushion to feel comfortable.

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