Pick 4: Arizona vs. Seattle and Houston vs. Baltimore

Pick 4: Arizona vs. Seattle and Houston vs. Baltimore

The Teaser: Pair Arizona and Houston

Game 1: Arizona vs. Seattle

The Initial Line:

Arizona +9.5 home vs. Seattle

The Take:

Add 8.5 points to Arizona’s line

The Final Line:

Arizona +18

The Breakdown:

Arizona was able to pull out the victory in a defensive road battle vs St. Louis, defeating them 12-6. In a game that only featured FGs, Arizona utilized its strong defense to force 2 turnovers in the game. Drew Stanton was 12-20 for 109 but left with a knee injury. Seattle kept their momentum rolling with a home win against rival San Francisco, pulling out a 17-7 victory. Marshawn Lynch had a strong game, rushing for 91 yds and a TD. Russell Wilson was average but did enough to win, as he went 12-24 for 168 yds, a TD and an INT. The defense did their job, holding SF to only 7 pts and 245 total yds.

This is arguably a showdown of the 2 best teams in the NFC, with Seattle traveling to Arizona, who hasn’t lost at home all year. Losing Drew Stanton may hurt them (Ryan Lindley will get the start), but the emergence of Kerwynn Williams should help assist the offense. They will rely on the defense to keep this one close, and they rank 2nd in turnover differential in the NFL while Seattle ranks 7th. They also have a strong home-field advantage, where they are 13-2 in the last 2 years no matter who’s in at QB. This should be a good defensive game, and as long as Arizona’s defense plays well they’ll stay in this one. Grabbing them at +18 should be plenty against a Seattle team who only averages 21.4 PPG on the road.

Game 2: Houston vs. Baltimore

The Initial Line:

Houston +6 home vs. Baltimore

The Take:

Add 8.5 points to Houston’s line

The Final Line:

Houston +14.5

The Breakdown:

Houston fell to their division rival Indianapolis on Sunday, losing 17-10 on the road. The defense continues to be a strong point for Houston, as they held Andrew Luck and Co. to only 278 total yds and forced 2 turnovers. Arian Foster was a bright spot for the offense, rushing for 99 yds on 26 carries. Although Baltimore was able to pull out the home victory against Jacksonville 20-12, it didn’t come easily. Jacksonville held a 12-10 lead at halftime but got shutout in the 2nd half to allow Baltimore back into it. Blake Bortles went 21-37 for 210 yds and an INT. The special teams also got a punt blocked which was returned for a TD.

Houston needs a lot of things to go right to have an outside shot at the playoffs, including winning their last 2 games. Baltimore has more realistic chances, but also needs to play well. Houston will have to figure out their QB position, but both Thad Lewis or Case Keenum have experience at the position. Arian Foster can help support the transition, as he once again reached the 1,000 yd mark on the ground. They will have to step it up on defense, but that shouldn’t be an issue as they rank 1st in the NFL with 31 takeaways. They will get a slight advantage being in Houston; Baltimore tends to struggle more on the road. Take Houston with a 2 TD cushion here.

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