Pick 2: Buffalo vs. New England and Detroit vs. Green Bay

Pick 2: Buffalo vs. New England and Detroit vs. Green Bay

The Teaser: Pair Buffalo and Detroit

Game 1: Buffalo vs. New England

The Initial Line:

Buffalo +6 away vs. New England

The Take:

Add 8.5 points to Buffalo’s line

The Final Line:

Buffalo +14.5

The Breakdown:

Buffalo was handed a tough loss to knock them out of playoff contention, falling on the road to Oakland 26-24. Kyle Orton played fairly well besides 2 crucial mistakes, as he ended up going 32-49 for 329 yds, 3 TDs, and 2 INTs. The Buffalo defense didn’t do a great job helping their team either, as they gave up 347 yds to a weak Oakland offense and 26 pts (2nd most pts allowed this season). New England barely squeaked out a road victory against New York in week 16, winning 17-16. Its was their worst offensive performance of the season as they only had 231 total yds. Tom Brady went 23-35 for 182 yds, 1 TD, and 1 INT, while the leading rusher was Shane Vereen with 38 rush yds.

These games are always hard fought, but New England will have reason to take it easy as they’ve clinched #1 seed for home-field advantage throughout the playoffs. It’s likely that a lot of the starters will be resting in preparation for the playoffs, while Buffalo has nothing to look forward to besides fighting for one more victory against their division rival. Let’s not forget that Buffalo comes in with the 4th least yds allowed this season, while New England is coming off their worst offensive performance of the year. Julian Edelman was out with a concussion last week, but I doubt they’ll be trying to force him touches this week as they need him for a playoff run. This game will most likely be close, so taking Buffalo with a 2 TD cushion is a good bet.

Game 2: Detroit vs. Green Bay

The Initial Line:

Detroit +9 away vs. Green Bay

The Take:

Add 8.5 points to Detroit’s line

The Final Line:

Detroit +17.5

The Breakdown:

Detroit is coming off a road win against division rival Chicago, securing a victory 20-14. The game could have been more lopsided, as Detroit turned the ball over 3 times including 2 redzone INTs by Matthew Stafford. Calvin Johnson had another big day, adding 6 catches for 103 yds. Green Bay had a nice bounce-back road victory by defeating Tampa Bay 20-3. Aaron Rodgers responded a week after the worst performance of his career, going 31-40 for 318 yds and a TD. The defense also stopped Tampa Bay’s offense in their tracks, as they only allowed 6 first downs and 109 total yds.

Both Detroit and Green Bay have clinched a playoff berth. This week 17 matchup will decide who clinches the NFC North title and most likely the #2 seed in the NFC. On paper Green Bay is a dominant force at home, as they are 7-0 this season and have only had 2 games within one possession (NE, NYJ). However let’s not forget that Detroit won this matchup earlier in the season 19-7 by holding Aaron Rodgers to 162 yds and 223 total yds. Detroit also boasts the 2nd best defense in the league and has a strong offense with Stafford, Megatron, and Joique Bell. Expect this one to be a tight battle as a lot is on the line for playoff positioning. Green Bay might be able to pull out the victory, but this will be no cake walk as Detroit will not let up.

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