Pick 4: Carolina vs. Baltimore and Dallas vs. New Orleans

Pick 4: Carolina vs. Baltimore and Dallas vs. New Orleans

The Teaser: Pair Carolina and Dallas

Game 1: Carolina vs. Baltimore

The Initial Line:

Carolina +3 away vs. Baltimore

The Take:

Add 7.5 points to Carolina’s line

The Final Line:

Carolina +10.5

The Breakdown:

Carolina suffered a brutal first loss on Sunday Night Football at home to Pittsburgh 37-19. The offense had 2 turnovers and the defense couldn’t stop the rushing attack of Bell and Blount, who each went for over 100 yds. Besides the turnovers the offense still generated 349 yards with Newton contributing 250 through the air. Baltimore pulled off a last-minute victory in Cleveland, as Justin Tucker kicked the winning FG for a 23-21 win. Flacco threw an interception and the defense gave up 375 yds, but the team was able to just overcome it. Some bad news for Baltimore was that tight end went down after appearing to re-injure the hip that kept him out most of 2013.

Carolina looked to be rolling until Pittsburgh set them straight in week 3. They want to show everyone that their streak to the playoffs last season was no fluke, so they will be out to play in week 4. Since missing week 1 with a rib injury, Cam Newton has been strong with an average of 266 yds/game and a QB rating of 99.4. He will take advantage of a Baltimore defense that ranks 24th in passing yds allowed/game this season. This will be a tight game as overall the team’s are evenly matched (slight edge to Carolina), so feel confident with Carolina at +10.5.

Game 2: Dallas vs. New Orleans

The Initial Line:

Dallas +3 home vs. New Orleans

The Take:

Add 7.5 points to Dallas’ line

The Final Line:

Dallas +10.5

The Breakdown:

Dallas matched their biggest comeback in franchise history on Sunday, coming back down 21-0 to win in St. Louis 34-31. Tony Romo threw for 2 TDs and DeMarco Murray reeled off his 3rd straight 100 yd rushing game. The Dallas defense was also able to force 3 turnovers in the victory. New Orleans was able to earn its first victory of the season, beating Minnesota 20-9 at home. Drew Brees had an impressive game with 293 yds and 2 TD passes, although the game was close until a 4th quarter TD gave New Orleans a more comfortable lead. New Orleans has now won its last 19 home games with Sean Payton coaching on the sidelines.

Dallas will be looking for their first home victory of the season in week 4. Even though the Dallas defense was predicted to be one of the worst ever in NFL history, they have held their own and rank 21st in yards allowed (New Orleans ranks 29th). Both of these teams have high-powered passing attacks with Brees and Romo, but I think the difference will be DeMarco Murray this week on the ground. Also New Orleans shows signs of “Jekyll and Hyde” syndrome when playing home and away. Since 2011, they have a 21-4 record at home (84% win %) but a 11-15 record away (42% win %). Dallas and New Orleans will have an offensive shootout with their weak defenses, but expect Dallas to either win the game or lose by a TD or less. Taking 10.5 points should be plenty here.

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