Pick 3: Kansas City vs. San Francisco and Cincinnati vs. New England

Pick 3: Kansas City vs. San Francisco and Cincinnati vs. New England

The Teaser: Pair Kansas City and Cincinnati

Game 1: Kansas City vs. San Francisco

The Initial Line:

Kansas City +6 away vs San Francisco

The Take:

Add 8.5 points to Kansas City’s line

The Final Line:

Kansas City +14.5

The Breakdown:

Kansas City made a statement at home on Monday Night Football, beating up on New England 41-17. Jamaal Charles returned from injury in convincing fashion, registering 3 total TDs in the game (1 rushing, 2 receiving). The defense was also able to force 3 turnovers and hand New England one of their biggest losses in Belichick era. San Francisco earned a much needed win at home, beating Philadelphia 26-21 and avoiding a 3 game losing streak. The defense looked strong, holding the Philly offense to 0 pts and forcing 4 turnovers (all Philly points scored on defense/special teams). Frank Gore had a great game as well, rushing 24 times for 119 yds.

Both of these teams are feeling better about their current state, with matching 2-2 records. Getting Jamaal Charles back was a huge boost for the KC offense, as he’ll have a tough test against the defensive front of SF. SF and KC rank 7th and 8th in opponent pass yards/game, so expect both teams to grind it out on the ground. Both of these teams sit in tough divisions and need a victory to keep pace with their divisional rivals. Expect a tight one here, with either team having a shot at victory. I expect a low scoring game, so feel confident with Kansas City covered by 2 TDs at +14.5.

Game 2: Cincinnati vs. New England

The Initial Line:

Cincinnati -1 away vs. New England

The Take:

Add 8.5 points to Cincinnati’s line

The Final Line:

Cincinnati +7.5

The Breakdown:

Cincinnati had a bye in week 4, but had a convincing 33-7 home win against Tennessee in week 3. They have shown that they are a complete team on both sides of the ball, and some have even put them atop the Power Rankings in the NFL for week 5. Having this week off has given some of their players some much needed rest and time to recover from injuries. New England had one of their worst defeats in recent memory on Monday Night, losing 41-14 in Kansas City. Nothing seemed to go right for the team, as they had 3 turnovers on offense and the team gave up 443 total yards. They have some major concerns on the offensive side of the ball, even though the defense is expected to bounce back.

This should be a great matchup on Sunday Night. Many are giving up on New England, but you can’t overlook the fact that they are the best team at making adjustments and are 38-3 at home since 2009. Cincinnati should be able to take advantage of a depleted O-line however, and if they play to the same quality they have all year they will beat New England at home. New England needs to find answers for their offense, and it’s not gonna go well against a team that has the best turnover differential in the NFL (+6 in 3 games). Take Cincinnati at +7.5 in case Tom Brady finds his MVP-caliber play and pulls out a last-minute victory to bail out New England.

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