Pick 4: Indianapolis vs. Baltimore and Houston vs. Dallas

Pick 4: Indianapolis vs. Baltimore and Houston vs. Dallas

The Teaser: Pair Indianapolis and Houston

Game 1: Indianapolis vs. Baltimore

The Initial Line:

Indianapolis -3.5 home vs. Baltimore

The Take:

Add 8.5 points to Indianapolis’ line

The Final Line:

Indianapolis +5

The Breakdown:

Indianapolis kept their momentum going with a convincing home win 41-17 over Tennessee. Andrew Luck had an amazing game throwing for 393 yds and 4 TDs. The defense was also able to force 3 turnovers on the Tennessee offense and backup QB Charlie Whitehurst, as they could only muster 261 total yards in the game. Baltimore had a dominating home win against Carolina, thrashing them 38-10. Joe Flacco had a line of 22/31 for 327 yds and 3 TDs, and Steve Smith got revenge on his former team with 7 catches for 139 yds and 2 TDs. Baltimore now sits at 3-1 for the season.

Indianapolis started the season at 0-2 despite 2 close losses to powerhouses Denver and Philadelphia. Now they are showing why they are a true playoff contender, as they’ve scored more than 40 pts each of the last 2 games. Now they look to keep the momentum going at home vs. Baltimore. Look for Indy to continue throwing the ball, as they rank first in passing yards and Baltimore ranks 24th in passing yards against them. This should be a pretty close game the whole way, but look for Indianapolis to keep their momentum going and push themselves over the .500 mark. Take Indy with +4.5 just in case it comes down to a late FG and Baltimore pulls the upset.

Game 2: Houston vs. Dallas

The Initial Line:

Houston +6 away vs. Dallas

The Take:

Add 8.5 points to Houston’s line

The Final Line:

Houston +14.5

The Breakdown:

Houston is trying to prove that this isn’t last years 2-14 team, as they surpassed that win total with a 23-17 home victory over Buffalo. Houston still made some mistakes with 3 turnovers, but they forced 2 turnovers themselves. None was bigger than JJ Watt’s INT 80 yd return for a TD. Buffalo has had enough of the experiment with EJ Manuel, as they chose to bench him for week 5. Dallas is coming off a strong victory in Sunday Night Football over New Orleans, winning 38-17. DeMarco Murray had his 4th straight 100 yd rushing game, gathering 149 yds on the ground. Tony Romo also had a great game, throwing for 262 yds and 3 TDs. The defense stepped it up as well with 3 turnovers.

Both of these teams (maybe surprisingly) sit at 3-1 heading into week 5. This should be a good battle between two talented teams in this Texas showdown. Expect JJ Watt to be fired up and ready to get pressure on Romo, and don’t be surprised if they force the sporadic QB to throw a couple INTs while under pressure. Fitzpatrick should be able to gain some yards against this Dallas D, as they are better than people expected but still have their flaws. I’m not saying Houston will win this one, but I think it’ll be a close game as their defense steps it up. Their Texas pride will keep them in the game, and they won’t lose by more than 2 TDs.

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