Pick 2: Denver vs. New York (AFC) and Dallas vs. Seattle

Pick 2: Denver vs. New York (AFC) and Dallas vs. Seattle

The Teaser: Pair Denver and Dallas

Game 1: Denver vs. New York (AFC)

The Initial Line:

Denver -9.5 away vs. New York (AFC)

The Take:

Add 7 points to Denver’s line

The Final Line:

Denver -2.5

The Breakdown:

Denver pulled off an impressive win over undefeated Arizona on Sunday, winning 41-20 at home. Peyton Manning took advantage of his prep time during their week 4 bye, as he threw for 479 yds and 4 TDs (also reaching the 500 TD milestone for his career). Demaryius Thomas also had a career game, catching 8 passes for 226 yds and 2 TDs. Arizona allowed 568 yds in the game, the highest total allowed for them since 1973 and the best offensive attack for Denver in team history. New York didn’t seem to do anything well on Sunday, as they lost 31-0 in San Diego. Geno Smith was benched after a 4/12 start to the game with 27 yds and 1 INT, but backup QB Michael Vick wasn’t much better as he went 8/19 and 47 yds. New York couldn’t even cross the 50 yd line until almost 8 minutes into the 4th quarter.

Denver now goes on the road to play in New York. You figured that Denver would be favored, but the fact that the line started at -9.5 should tell you how good they look and how bad New York looks. Denver did lose RB Montee Ball to a groin injury, but with Peyton on the field the offense still seems to be in good shape. The only chance New York would have on offense is their running game, which ranks 6th in the league. However Denver’s defense ranks 7th in opp. rush yds against, so I don’t see how New York’s offense could match that of Denver. Expect Denver to be 4-1 after this game, as I don’t see this one being close.

Game 2: Dallas vs. Seattle

The Initial Line:

Dallas +7.5 away vs. Seattle

The Take:

Add 7 points to Dallas’ line

The Final Line:

Dallas +14.5

The Breakdown:

Dallas won the Texas battle this weekend, winning a 20-17 OT thriller at home vs Houston. Tony Romo threw for 312 yds and 2 TDs, leading Dallas to their 4th consecutive victory. However you could argue that DeMarco Murray is the player carrying Dallas, as he notched his 5th consecutive game with over 100 rush yards. Seattle was able to win on the road in Monday Night Football, beating Washington 27-17 mainly due to the play of Russell Wilson. He seems to be doing it all, as he passed for 201 yds and 2 TDs and also added 122 rush yards (most ever by a QB on MNF). Were it not for 90 yds worth of penalties by Seattle, this game might have been more of a blowout (3 Percy Harvin TDs were called back).

These are 2 teams who are looking like true contenders for the playoffs and this should be a great matchup this weekend. The line opened at Seattle -7.5 due their “12th man” home-field advantage, but expect Dallas to be in this game. It will be interesting to see who wins the ground battle between Dallas’ 2nd ranked rush game and Seattle’s 1st rank rush defense. Dallas is hungry to prove that they belong in the playoffs after 3 straight years with an 8-8 record, so they would get a huge confidence boost if they could knock off the Super Bowl champs at home. I see this one being close, and even if Seattle gets another home victory we should be safe taking Dallas with a 2 TD cushion.

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